When it comes to negative equity, the Twin Cities are seriously under water
Monday, October 13, 2008 at 2:18 pm
A story last week by the Wall Street Journal reveals a growing and troubling trend: One in six homeowners are under water, or living in a home in which they owe more than it’s worth. Instead of having the once-relied-upon equity in their home, the mortgage crisis has created negative equity for more than 75 million homeowners. For newer homeowners, the likelihood of being underwater increases: Approximately 29 percent of people who bought their home in the last five years is under water.
In the Twin Cities the economic picture is even more dismal. Minneapolis and St. Paul rank fifth in the nation’s most in-debt households, meaning that area homeowners have less equity in their homes–and more debt–than the national average. According to Forbes and Moody’s, Americans hold an average of 46 percent of their property’s value in equity, a major drop from 2000 when it was near 60 percent. Yet in the Twin Cities, as of June of this year, homeowners hold a meager 27 percent in equity. That’s a major dip from just 2004, when average equity was at 49 percent in the Twin Cities.
Why are the Twin Cities drowning in negative equity? It has to do with the housing bubble, when Twin Cities home prices were serioulsy inflated and ripe for predatory lending, and the rising number of foreclosures and short sales that are occuring as a result. It’s estimated that every foreclosure in a neighborhood reduces surrounding home values by 10 percent. And while in 2001 it was popular to have multiple bids on a single home, demand for homes has plummeted along with the economy. On average, single-family homes sit on the market for nearly ten months.
1 Comment
Comment posted October 16, 2008 @ 4:06 pm
Yes, if there is a foreclosure in your neighborhood, your appraised value of your home could drop by 10% or more. It won’t go back up until there have been positive sales in the neighborhood.
This is why subprime mortgages are so bad. Say you get a 2 year ARM because you don’t want to stay in the house that long or you want to build credit and refinance after the two years(the two main reasons people got these loans). If the value of the home drops by 20 to 30 grand in those two years, there is no way you can sell or refinance unless you have that much money to make up the difference of the new value of the house. And the other great thing is that the payments skyrocket after the two year mark. These loans backed people into a corner they can’t get out of and caused people to foreclose.
We all know what happened from there.
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