Hillary Tops GOP Frontrunners in Minnesota
Friday, October 26, 2007 at 9:07 pm
- 2 Comments
Survey USA sampled 540 registered votes in Minnesota Oct. 12-14 about presidential preferences. Working for three state TV stations (KSTP was the Twin Cities partner), Survey USA ran trial heats of Sen. Hillary Clinton against six Republican candidates, including all the frontrunners. Clinton won every matchup by substantial margins. The margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points, the results were:
- Clinton: 51, Giuliani: 40.
- Clinton: 57, Fred Thompson: 37.
- Clinton: 57, Romney: 34.
- Clinton: 50, McCain: 43.
- Clinton: 61, Ron Paul: 28.
Clinton enjoyed humongous double-digit gender gaps. Sen. John McCain beat her pretty badly 52-41) among men, but she she more than made up for it, beating him 59-33 among women.
For comparison purposes, Survey USA also ran Al Gore against Giuliani.
- Gore: 50, Giuliani: 44.
2 Comments
Comment posted October 29, 2007 @ 9:40 am
Clinton winning Minnesota is called “holding serve”. In tennis parlance, Clinton winning Minnesota is called “holding serve”. When was the last time a Democrat did not get Minnesota’s Electoral College votes ? (1956?)
My vote – and the rest of Minnesotans — in the Presidential contest won’t matter. We will be a FlyOver/LuncheonSpeechState.
What will determine the race is whether Clinton – or another Democratic candidate – can convert a Red State to Blue.
Clinton should feel optimistic if she can convert her former “home state” back to Blue. And according to Rasmussen she might do it.
Clinton won’t get my vote … she’s Bush in a pantsuit.
IF you wanted to evaluate Clinton’s true support, first ask if the election were held today, would you vote for a Democrat or a Republican. Then compare that number to Clinton versus a generic Republican candidate … if she gains over the generic Democrat, then she has conversion votes, if she does not, she does not have the votes of Independents like me.
Comment posted October 29, 2007 @ 4:40 am
Clinton winning Minnesota is called “holding serve”. In tennis parlance, Clinton winning Minnesota is called “holding serve”. When was the last time a Democrat did not get Minnesota's Electoral College votes ? (1956?)
My vote – and the rest of Minnesotans — in the Presidential contest won't matter. We will be a FlyOver/LuncheonSpeechState.
What will determine the race is whether Clinton – or another Democratic candidate – can convert a Red State to Blue.
Clinton should feel optimistic if she can convert her former “home state” back to Blue. And according to Rasmussen she might do it.
Clinton won't get my vote … she's Bush in a pantsuit.
IF you wanted to evaluate Clinton's true support, first ask if the election were held today, would you vote for a Democrat or a Republican. Then compare that number to Clinton versus a generic Republican candidate … if she gains over the generic Democrat, then she has conversion votes, if she does not, she does not have the votes of Independents like me.
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