two-ssp-mapsMichele Bachmann might not return to Congress, if one of the scenarios at Swing State Project for redistricting Minnesota after the 2010 U.S. Census comes to pass.

SSP diarist Nathaniel90 has analyzed nearly half the states’ redistricting possibilities, but Minnesota is the first with politics complicated enough to warrant two possible maps — one if Republicans retain the governorship, another if the DFL party somehow breaks its jinx and gains that office in 2010.

Both scenarios assume Minnesota moves from eight to seven congressional districts, jumbling familiar boundaries and district numbers.

The first version, the imagined result of bipartisan redistricting, protects Bachmann’s seat. Instead it pits incumbent Democrat Rep.Tim Walz against incumbent Republican Rep. John Kline in a reconfigured First District in the state’s southeastern corner.

minnesota2012districtsoption1

The second version, with Democrats controlling the state Legislature and the governor’s office, puts Kline up against fellow Republican Bachmann in a new district that wraps around the Twin Cities in a U shape. Nathaniel90 concedes, however, that Bachmann still could emerge the victor in a GOP primary battle.

minnesota2012districtsoption22

For reference, here’s the current Congressional map. Note: District numbers don’t match because the maps above envision seven districts instead of the current eight.

current-cong-map

Related:

Redistricting: What’s It Really About? (Part I)

Redistricting: Losing, Keeping Seat Too Close to Call