What’s good for Cargill: Life and death in the free market

By Britt Robson
Tuesday, April 15, 2008 at 3:59 pm

Above, a photo from a food riot in West Bengal. Below, excerpts of two news accounts whose pairing requires no comment.

“Surging commodity prices have pushed up global food prices 83 percent in the past three years, according to the World Bank — putting huge stress on some of the world’s poorest nations…

“Rioting in response to soaring food prices recently has broken out in Egypt, Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Senegal and Ethiopia. In Pakistan and Thailand, army troops have been deployed to deter food from fields and warehouses. World Bank President Robert Zoellick warned in a recent speech that 33 countries are at risk of social upheaval because of rising food prices. Those could include Indonesia, Yemen, Ghana, Uzbekistan and the Phillipines. In countries where buying food requires half to three-quarters of a poor person’s income, “there is no margin for survival,” he said….

“Many policy makers at the weekend meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank agreed that the problem is severe. Among other targets, they singled out U.S. policies pushing corn-based ethanol and other biofuels as deepening the woes.”
–Monday’s front page Wall Street Journal story

“Has it ever been better for Cargill? Not likely.

“The company turned in yet another set of dazzling results on Monday, with quarterly earning leaping 86 percent to break the $1 billion barrier for the first time.

“Profit for the quarter ended Feb. 29 was $1.03 billion, a pace that earned the company $11.3 million a day. That’s $471,611 an hour, for anyone who’s keeping track.

“The surge of profitmaking comes as global food shortages and an expanding biofuels industry has put a premium on agricultural commodities and technology–the mainstays of Cargill’s business.”
–Tuesday’s Star Tribune business section front page

Categories & Tags: Economy/Finance| | |

Comments

4 Comments

Paul Schmelzer
Comment posted April 17, 2008 @ 8:45 am

Re: Cargill profits and food riots Due to technical difficulites, Bob Moffitt of ALA Minnesota was unable to post this comment himself, so allow me:

Had to smile a bit at your efforts to link Cargill profits, biofuels and recent turmoil around the globe regarding food prices.  First, Cargill has been a very outspoken critic of biofuels, and is considered a rather minor player in the biofuel industry.  Second, there is scant evidence – but many claims – that biofuels are the primary driver of higher food costs. The more likely villain is the weak dollar and the cost of oil (both closely linked together). Yes, I know what C Ford Runge of the U of M says. But he has been wrong about the economic impact of biofuels before, and I believe he is wrong now. Ditto for Profs. Hill and Tilman at the U, who have their own reasons for bashing corn-based ethanol at every occasion.

But I digress – Cargill, like other Minnesota corporate critics of biofuels, have been crying “foul” and claiming they are victimized by biofuels, even as they rake in VERY handsome profits during an economic downturn. Don’t get me wrong, I want these MN firms to succeed, but they protest about biofuels too much, methinks…Some examples:

Eggs

At Arden Hills-based Land O’ Lakes, for example, egg revenue in 2007 was up 29 percent to $514 million. The higher sales helped the cooperative’s egg business deliver pretax earnings of $24.6 million, compared with a loss of $40.2 million in 2006. Similarly, the nation’s largest producer of eggs – Mississippi-based Cal-Maine Foods Inc. – enjoyed increased sales and profits during 2007 that helped boost the company’s stock price. Cal-Maine shares traded at more than $34 last week, nearly triple their price in April. Source: http://www.twincitie…

Corn Flakes

General Mills posted 12% growth for its third-quarter revenue, which surged to $3.41 billion from $3.05 billion a year ago. This was above analysts’ predictions for revenue of $3.24 billion in the quarter, according to Thomson Financial. Source: http://www.bloggings…

Meat (well, Spam, actually)

Meat producer Hormel Foods Corp. said Friday, Feb. 15, strong sales of Spam and a recovery in its turkey business helped its first-quarter earnings rise 17 percent. http://www.hutchinso…

 


Britt Robson
Comment posted May 7, 2008 @ 5:14 pm

Tell the man to read the excerpt What the Strib piece explicitly says is that “an expanding biofuels industry has put a premium on agricultural commodities and technology–the mainstays of Cargill’s business.”

Coupled with the WSJ piece, what I am trying to demonstrate is that one of the most fundamental laws of capitalism–supply and demand–is at work here. People are starving in countries that don’t use the dollar for currency. Ditto, people are getting rich off the scarcity of agricultural commodities in countries that don’t use the dollar. Biofuels is not the whole story here, just a factor, and perhaps even a catalyst. But the basic point is about supply and demand, and, by extension, starvation and profit.


Paul Schmelzer
Comment posted April 17, 2008 @ 3:45 am

Re: Cargill profits and food riots Due to technical difficulites, Bob Moffitt of ALA Minnesota was unable to post this comment himself, so allow me:

Had to smile a bit at your efforts to link Cargill profits, biofuels and recent turmoil around the globe regarding food prices.  First, Cargill has been a very outspoken critic of biofuels, and is considered a rather minor player in the biofuel industry.  Second, there is scant evidence – but many claims – that biofuels are the primary driver of higher food costs. The more likely villain is the weak dollar and the cost of oil (both closely linked together). Yes, I know what C Ford Runge of the U of M says. But he has been wrong about the economic impact of biofuels before, and I believe he is wrong now. Ditto for Profs. Hill and Tilman at the U, who have their own reasons for bashing corn-based ethanol at every occasion.

But I digress – Cargill, like other Minnesota corporate critics of biofuels, have been crying “foul” and claiming they are victimized by biofuels, even as they rake in VERY handsome profits during an economic downturn. Don't get me wrong, I want these MN firms to succeed, but they protest about biofuels too much, methinks…Some examples:

Eggs

At Arden Hills-based Land O' Lakes, for example, egg revenue in 2007 was up 29 percent to $514 million. The higher sales helped the cooperative's egg business deliver pretax earnings of $24.6 million, compared with a loss of $40.2 million in 2006. Similarly, the nation's largest producer of eggs – Mississippi-based Cal-Maine Foods Inc. – enjoyed increased sales and profits during 2007 that helped boost the company's stock price. Cal-Maine shares traded at more than $34 last week, nearly triple their price in April. Source: http://www.twincitie…

Corn Flakes

General Mills posted 12% growth for its third-quarter revenue, which surged to $3.41 billion from $3.05 billion a year ago. This was above analysts' predictions for revenue of $3.24 billion in the quarter, according to Thomson Financial. Source: http://www.bloggings…

Meat (well, Spam, actually)

Meat producer Hormel Foods Corp. said Friday, Feb. 15, strong sales of Spam and a recovery in its turkey business helped its first-quarter earnings rise 17 percent. http://www.hutchinso…

 


Britt Robson
Comment posted May 7, 2008 @ 12:14 pm

Tell the man to read the excerpt What the Strib piece explicitly says is that “an expanding biofuels industry has put a premium on agricultural commodities and technology–the mainstays of Cargill's business.”

Coupled with the WSJ piece, what I am trying to demonstrate is that one of the most fundamental laws of capitalism–supply and demand–is at work here. People are starving in countries that don't use the dollar for currency. Ditto, people are getting rich off the scarcity of agricultural commodities in countries that don't use the dollar. Biofuels is not the whole story here, just a factor, and perhaps even a catalyst. But the basic point is about supply and demand, and, by extension, starvation and profit.


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