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The Rothenberg Political Report released its latest House ratings today. Not surprisingly Minnesota’s Third Congressional District, which pits Republican state Rep. Erik Paulsen against DFL newcomer Ashwin Madia (pictured), is deemed a toss-up. The open seat is one of 15 races across the country so designated.
Democrat Rep. Tim Walz’s seat is categorized as leaning Democratic, while fellow freshman Michele Bachmann’s post is viewed as slightly more secure for the Republican incumbent.
Minnesota’s five other congressional races don’t make the cut, meaning they’re seen as at little risk to the incumbent party. The most interesting omission: Republican Rep. John Kline’s seat in the Second Congressional District. Challenger Steve Sarvi will have to dramatically improve his political prospects in the coming weeks if the Democrats are going to mount a serious challenge to the three-term incumbent.
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4 Comments »
Comment posted May 7, 2008 @ 7:39 pm
Who’s voters will be apathetic this time ? My travels around the First District indicate that voters are pleased with Tim Walz efforts on issues that they care about – Veterans care, health care, economy, and education. The in-district sessions that he has had throughout this term is paying dividends.
When you compare the First District situation in 2006 with an entrenched Republican Congressman versus a National Guard Vet, why doesn’t Steve Sarvi deserve the same chance as Walz ? Kline has not served the Second District well and seems to accept being branded as a Bushie without any complaint. Kline has been successful due to Apathy. This year, voters seem to be more engaged. Sarvi should have the right message to take to the voters. Kline’s war chest is not as deep as Gutknecht’s was. It’s up to the DCCC if they want the Second District … they need to invest money … and a visit by Presidential candidate Obama would help. Enthusiasm beats Apathy every time … and this time Kline could be the one with apathetic voters staying home.
It’s a long time until Election Night, but my prediction is the Republicans retaining Ramstad’s seat (and Bachmann’s) but losing in the Second.
Comment posted May 8, 2008 @ 12:45 pm
Sarvi The political shift in the 2nd district would point toward a competitive race between Kline, a global warming skeptic and Iraq War enthusiast, and Steve Sarvi.
Of course I’m talking about Klobuchar winning the district by 30,000 votes and now the DFL has a majority of representatives in the state legislture from CD-2.
The time is right for Sarvi, and he is the right candidate. After he improves his fund raising this quarter, he will win in November!
Comment posted May 7, 2008 @ 2:39 pm
Who's voters will be apathetic this time ? My travels around the First District indicate that voters are pleased with Tim Walz efforts on issues that they care about – Veterans care, health care, economy, and education. The in-district sessions that he has had throughout this term is paying dividends.
When you compare the First District situation in 2006 with an entrenched Republican Congressman versus a National Guard Vet, why doesn't Steve Sarvi deserve the same chance as Walz ? Kline has not served the Second District well and seems to accept being branded as a Bushie without any complaint. Kline has been successful due to Apathy. This year, voters seem to be more engaged. Sarvi should have the right message to take to the voters. Kline's war chest is not as deep as Gutknecht's was. It's up to the DCCC if they want the Second District … they need to invest money … and a visit by Presidential candidate Obama would help. Enthusiasm beats Apathy every time … and this time Kline could be the one with apathetic voters staying home.
It's a long time until Election Night, but my prediction is the Republicans retaining Ramstad's seat (and Bachmann's) but losing in the Second.
Comment posted May 8, 2008 @ 7:45 am
Sarvi The political shift in the 2nd district would point toward a competitive race between Kline, a global warming skeptic and Iraq War enthusiast, and Steve Sarvi.
Of course I'm talking about Klobuchar winning the district by 30,000 votes and now the DFL has a majority of representatives in the state legislture from CD-2.
The time is right for Sarvi, and he is the right candidate. After he improves his fund raising this quarter, he will win in November!
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