Dem adviser: Pawlenty’s ‘uninspiring,’ Palin won’t be 2012 GOP candidate
Tuesday, July 14, 2009 at 9:07 am
While he sees Sarah Palin as “the bright red thread in the dull, grey fabric of the Republican Party,” Democratic campaign strategist Robert Shrum says the former VP candidate doesn’t stand a chance of being the GOP’s nominee for president in 2012. Further, at The Week this morning, the adviser behind campaigns like Al Gore’s in 2000 and John Kerry’s in 2004 calls Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty “uninspiring.”
Shrum says that Palin’s “stumbling exit” from office in Alaska “reinforced an all but indelible impression of incoherence and incompetence.” And a recent CBS News poll — which found a mere 22 percent of Americans (and 33 percent of Republicans) think she’s got what it takes to be president — backs that opinion up.
Another problem: “Republicans nominate by primogeniture; they pick the next person in line” — and that next person is Mitt Romney. And given “the spontaneous, erratic performance of Sarah Palin,” not to mention the lackluster competition for the post — which is where Pawlenty comes in — Romney’s most likely to get the party’s nod:
The religious right has grown accustomed to his Mormonism. Some conservatives distrust his contorted conversion to their political creed, but who else have they got? South Carolina Governor Mark Sanford and Nevada Senator John Ensign have become casualties of concupiscence. Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal flunked his audition. Minnesota’s Governor Tim Pawlenty is uninspiring.
3 Comments
Comment posted July 14, 2009 @ 1:07 pm
For Shrum to leave Huckabee out of his assessment tells me that he is either a religious bigot or stupid. Whether he likes Huckabee or not, the former Arkansas Governor held the second most delegates in 2008 and is leading in every recent poll with the exception of Rasmussen where Romney leads. So it makes no logical sense to leave out Huckabee. While Shrum makes the assumption that the “religious right has grown accustomed to his Mormonism” (which I’m sure he bases on no data or research), he likely dismisses Huckabee because of his own religious intolerance of evangelicals. The only other logical reason I can see Shrum not including Huckabee in his assessment is because he doesn’t think for himself. He may just assume that since Rush Limbaugh bashed Huckabee in 2008 that he’s not a contender. It’s sad if Shrum can’t analyze things beyond that. Either way it shows me that Shrum should not be analyzing Republican politics.
Comment posted July 14, 2009 @ 3:15 pm
Shrum, himself an unsuccessful campaign manager, is right to discout not only Palin and Pawlenty and Jindal, but he’s right to also ignore Huckabee. The Huckster was always only ever a regional candidate. He got the second most delegates only because he and his third-place status stayed in the contest after second-ranked Romney got out once he was mathematically eliminated. The move exposed Huckabee as either a self-promoter or McCain’s willing hatchetman and foil to Mitt Romney—and likely both.
You can disagree, but you’d be wrong. What you cannot disagree with is the fact that any Democrat would lovvvve to run against Mike Huckabee or Sarah Palin because they each are of questionable intelligence and truly only appeal to one faction of conservatives, and have very little appeal to independents, who now outnumber Democrats.
Comment posted July 14, 2009 @ 7:28 pm
I’m assuming you think Palin and Huck are stupid because they’re evangelicals… Just a hunch. As far as Huck being regional, he was polling at the top of FL, MI and a few other “non-southern” states before the “conservative (ie libertarian)” talk radio folks like Limbaugh and Hannity declared an all out assault on him which is sadly almost impossible to overcome in a Republican primary when you’re new on the scene. I doubt Reagan, Bush, JFK or Obama could have done as well under similar circumstances. And when he was polling high people knew he was a minister at one point. You make another mistake by assuming that Christians are only attractive to a small portion of the REPUBLICAN base. Other than the liberal wing of the Democratic party, Dems don’t implicitly distrust Christians. Sadly an overwhelming majority of people in the media (Liberal and conservative) do and they try and portray that as a mirror of the general public, which it’s not. I don’t discout that Romney is a top guy in the GOP, but Huck is just as much.
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