In instant-runoff ‘practice’ vote for guv, ranking choices didn’t affect who won
Wednesday, September 16, 2009 at 2:45 pm
The results of a DFL-sponsored “practice” election for governor using instant-runoff voting (IRV) would have been the same even if IRV hadn’t been used: The winner was state House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher – who made her run for guv official this morning — with Mayor R.T. Rybak in the runner-up slot.
The mock election was held at three locations in Minneapolis Tuesday, the day a primary election would’ve taken place were it not for the inaugural use of IRV this fall. It was open to anyone, whether a DFLer, a resident of Minneapolis or none of the above.
The tally after the first round of ballot-counting:
Margaret Anderson Kelliher, 34 percent
R.T. Rybak, 30 percent
John Marty, 12 percent
Paul Thissen, 10 percent
and eight other candidates at or below 3 percent each, plus write-ins
In the next step of IRV ballot-counting, all candidates but Rybak and Kelliher were eliminated, with the lower-ranked votes on ballots favoring those candidates transferred to the top two. Marty, a state senator from Roseville, and Thissen, a state representative from Minneapolis, were last to be eliminated, and so effectively took third and fourth place, respectively. The final round results:
Kelliher, 55 percent
Rybak, 45 percent
The total number of ballots cast was 271, spokesperson Kelly O’Brien tells the Minnesota Independent, with a rough breakdown of 136 at a Lyn-Lake location and 80 in the Longfellow neighborhood of South Minneapolis, and 55 at a North Minneapolis site.
9 Comments
Comment posted September 16, 2009 @ 3:18 pm
Another strong showing for Senator John Marty!! He’s exactly what we need, and people are catching on to that. It’s finally going to be Marty Time in MN!!!
Comment posted September 16, 2009 @ 3:19 pm
There is no surprise here – IRV pretty much gives the race to the plurality winner in all but a small number of actual elections.
I don’t buy these percentages. Is Keliher’s 55% figure taken from the total number of ballots cast? How many rounds took place, what was the number of exhausted ballots per round, etc.?
I’ve seen IRV supporters fudge the percentages depending on what they were using for the denominator. Some use the same denominator in all the rounds, but many change them from round to round. One tasting contest had no change in the number of votes won by “bundt cake” from round 3 to 4. There was no winner in round 3, but bundt cake won in round 4 because 5 people decided not to rank any further deserts.
Comment posted September 16, 2009 @ 4:44 pm
Something widely misunderstood is that the purpose wasn’t to get an accurate reflection of opinion on the governor race, or to show that RCV would produce a different result. It was to show people who will be voting in Minneapolis’ local elections and people in cities thinking about RCV how it works. We used the governor race because we thought it would be an interesting way to practice and would draw some attention, which it did. But understand that the important thing is the voters were able to follow instructions and fill out their ballots correctly.
Comment posted September 16, 2009 @ 5:25 pm
Chris Teleca, what interest would the DFL have in “fudging” the percentages? The results can be found at http://www.majorityrulesmpls.org.
Comment posted September 17, 2009 @ 9:14 am
The big news of the straw poll is actually the strong showing by Senator John Marty. An increasing number of voters are coming to realize that only ONE candidate refuses to take lobbyist and PAC money and is thus in a position to propose solutions that actually help people. The best example is Senator Marty’s Minnesota Health Plan, which would provide care to 100% of Minnesotans.
Comment posted September 17, 2009 @ 9:47 am
By all means, let’s run John Marty again. It worked so well in 1994. Then we can stop blaming the Independence Party for the DFL losing elections and recognize that it is our own fault that we pick losers.
Comment posted September 17, 2009 @ 6:21 pm
I heard voters were turned away from the polls at Tiger Sushi and that ballots were just sitting out for anyone to take as many as they wanted at another location. We should beware of anyone putting stock in the results.
Comment posted September 17, 2009 @ 8:49 pm
As a public health nurse, I feel obligated to back the candidate that believes that health care is a basic human right and should therefore be provided to all members of society. That candidate is JOHN MARTY!
Comment posted September 21, 2009 @ 8:18 pm
I want to know how Sen. John Marty’s pulling 12 percent is a “strong showing” while Rep. Paul Thissen’s 10% is somehow negligible. Democrats need to nominate a candidate who is capable of not only winning in November but is also capable of leading this state after his/her inauguration. Rep. Thissen is the candidate with the state wide grassroots support (he reportedly has been to more counties this year than any other candidate in the race) and the vision to actually lead our state.
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