Poll: Bachmann leads by 9 points

The story misses the key stat. Bachmann leads Clark by 15 points, 46-31% amongst independents, the group that decides elections.

Did Bachmann win independents in 2008?

With a 4.2% margin of error and only 500+ sample, a pretty worthless poll. You cannot say she is leading by 9 pts based on such statistics. What are the folks of the sixth district smoking?

Dennis, I read the 46-31% split you mention with voters which the poll results as saying have identified themselves as affiliated with the “Independent Party” which is different from “independent voters”. But you bring up a good point. Did the pollsters differentiate between voters who were really “independent” i.e. unaffiliated with any party? or did they ask if they were “independent voters” which could have been taken either way. It depends how the questions were asked.

Anyway, it’s way too early to begin projecting winners and losers this early in the race. I’ve noticed casually that while there are a lot of lawn signs up in my part of the 6th, and a lot of Kathy Lohmer signs (another Bachmann clone), those places don’t have Bachmann signs. One place which did have a Bachmann sign has now removed it. I think people would like to see how this plays out. Tarryl Clark is a tough candidate and she won’t take the swiftboating Bachmann laid on Wetterling and Tinklenberg. The campaign is just getting started and many people do not even start thinking about the Fall election until after Labor Day.

“One place which did have a Bachmann sign has now removed it.”

Knowing how nuts Bachmann’s opponents are, they probably don’t want their property vandalized.

Yay!! All overweight 5’6″ guys with Camo Baseball hats and red Toyota Pickup Trucks REJOICE!! Your Masturbatory fantasies might come true!!

>> Knowing how nuts Bachmann’s opponents are, they probably don’t want their property vandalized.

Or the owners may have decided with good reason not to support Bachmann anymore.

So independents will allow her to get elected again.

“Fifty-six percent of men picked Bachmann at 56 percent, compared to only 31 percent for Clark.”

That’s a 25 percent advantage for Bachmann over Clark with male voters. That’s surprising, at least for non-Democrat males, considering Bachmann’s weakness on national security issues and the fact that there are two conservative males in the race.

I think jonerik may be correct, that “it’s way too early to begin projecting winners and losers this early in the race.” Voters have not yet been introduced to all of the candidates, so I’d have to forgive Arnold Schwarzenegger if he erroneously assumed this was a district of “girly men.”

a month is and eternity in politics. won’t know much about November’s likely result until after Labor Day, certainly in Minnesota. but Clark faces an uphill climb. at least she knows the demographic she needs to focus her resources on.

Bachmann is unashamedly conservative and would be a
breath of fresh air as Washington big government keeps
encroaching on us regular folks.

“Bachmann is unashamedly conservative and would be a
breath of fresh air as Washington big government keeps
encroaching on us regular folks.”
You “regular folks” of Bachman’s district have to be among the stupidest people in America if you keep voting in this simpleton who is nothing more than a tool of big business which has destroyed the middle class and ushered in a new gilded age.

Bachmann is a nut case, it’s beyond me how people in the 6th district could even think about voting for her. I live in Calif and will contribute to Clark’s campaign.

Well, here’s an independent that will NEVER vote for her again. She is gone off the deep end and become so irrational that she is an embarassment to us all. Wake up poople. We do have other choices besides this wacko.

I Use to think that Minnesota was the state that other states in the united states should follow in regards to race relations.Michele Bachmann has changed my mind.She is a clone of my former senator Jesse Helms.In regards to politics and economics,she and other members of congress has forgotten history or intentionally ignoring it.There is a precedence for doing nothing in a time of severe recessionor depression.Remember Hubert Hoover who said that he did not beleive in govt. interference.That business would work itself out.Well we got a major depression as banks and businesses failed.Did the people want the banks to fail with there money in them.How about AIG which lend money to alot of businesses.Some business in Minnesota would have folded.The loss of GM would not only crippled Detroit but the whole economy.Think about this,your on job may have been saved with the bailout

Michele Bachmann defends the big oil companies like BP, the big banks on wall street banks, the insurances companies, if it’s big she defends it but when is she going to defend us, the people who elect her? Calling the Obama administration the “gangsta government”, saying that Obama will make slaves of White Americans(instilling fear and hate into White Americans who are already frightened, thanks to all the GOP lies. telling her constituents not to fill out the census form because the government will use it for mind control(STUPID),urges people to take up arms against the governemnt. You gotta be kidding me that popele believe. Anyone who believes that is more of a nutr job than her

Please Minnesotans, get rid of Michelle Bachmann. This woman is a hysterical air head. She makes no sense at all. She gives Minnesotans and women a bad name. If you can’t defeat her at the polls, please, some hero come forward and at least cut her tongue out so we don’t have to listen to her anymore.

People have to be out of their mind to vote for this bag of wind. I would not vote for her if I was a republican. she speaks stupid evrytime she opens her mouth.

This woman is an embarrassment to the entire country, not just Minnesota. Everytime she opens her mouth she says the stupidest thing of the day. I cannot fathom why ANYONE would vote for her, she is borderline insane. She does not know anything about anything and gets her kicks tossing incendiary remarks to get herself on TV. Sure, it makes news if you say irrational and patently false things, but how does that help anybody but Bachmann? I wouldn’t let this crazy nutcase walk my dog, and yet thousands of people want her to represent them in Congress? PLEASE WAKE UP. The only upside to having her around is that it proves that not all the nuts live in Texas and South Carolina.

Meaningless poll. Bachmann’s “lead” (9%) is virtually the same as the percent difference (8%) between Democrats and Republicans polled. Surprise, surprise.

This is a SurveyUSA “poll”. I don’t know who runs SurveyUSA or why, but what they are doing is not polling. Their numbers always skew heavily toward the Republican candidate and never line up with the figures produced by the legitimate polling organizations.

Julie Greene said of Bachmann — “some hero come forward and at least cut her tongue out so we don’t have to listen to her anymore”

Wow Julie! If you disagree with someone’s views and cannot defeat them in the polls, it’s ok to wish for horrific violence to befall them?

Who is the extremist?

Let’s let the electorate decide and hope for the best for both contestants.

Sad day for Minnesota!