St. Cloud State poll has Dayton up 10 points

A poll by St. Cloud State University has DFLer Mark Dayton leading Republican Tom Emmer 37 to 27 percent in the governor’s race — a margin three points higher than that registered in this weekend’s Star Tribune poll. Independence Party candidate Tom Horner is at 18 percent, his best showing among recent polls. According to the poll, 15 percent of respondents are undecided.

When the poll teased out likely voters, the margin remained roughly the same: Dayton gets 40 percent, Emmer 30 percent and Horner 19 percent. The poll sampled 628 people using both landline and mobile phones, and has a margin of error of 5 percent.

The polls authors said that Dayton leads in most demographic categories.

Eight out of 10 Democrats are supporting Dayton while 7 out of 10 Republicans are supporting Emmer. Horner is taking a number of Republicans. Twenty-three percent of Republican identified voters picked Horner.

Dayton leads in all age groups except ages 45 to 54, he leads in all economic strata, among both men and women, and has a strong showing in the Twin Cities metro and Greater Minnesota.

Full results and methodology can be viewed at the survey website.