Religious right marriage poll at odds with other recent surveys

I’m sure their sampling technique of polling subjects only in areas likely to yield the preferred response is a coincidence because no respectable polling firm would do so.

On the other hand designated hate groups are not unusual information gatherers. I point to the use of federally incarcerated KKK members for paid telephone solicitations.
Ask a POS for an assessment and you get POS information.

Praise Jebus, God hates sampling the opponents, Amen.

“That awful power, the public opinion of a nation, is created in America by a horde of ignorant, self-complacent simpletons who failed at ditching and shoemaking and fetched up in journalism on their way to the poorhouse.”
- “License of the Press” speech, Mark Twain

Sounds to me like Public Opinion Strategies is playing with what is commonly known as a marked deck.

Jeff Wilfahrt, Rosemount, MN

With the right polling techniques I bet you’ll find 53% of Americans believe the Planet of the Apes movie was a documentary. This poll is pretty much useless.

Their polls are skewed. I believe marriage is between a man and a woman. I also believe marriage is between two men and also between two women. I also don’t believe Minnesota needs to amend the constitution. So in and of itself, they’re just trying to lead people into their own conclusion, when that’s not really an indicator of the way people will vote. They know for example if they use the phrase “Do you believe should ban same-sex marriage,” they will lose. So they don’t. But that’s still in effect what they’re doing.

As a political scientist, any poll that does not make its methodology and crosstabs available should be immediately suspect, regardless of what other organizations the pollster works with.

It could easily be a “push poll”, where questions before the “headliner” are designed to elicit a particular response. It’s also possible that the sample was itself skewed – for all we know, it wasn’t random (not mentioned in their little sheet), they could have just called their own membership lists, focused on southern states, talked to more men than women…I could go on.

This is what we call an outlier – find me reputable organizations polling on the question replicating the same results, then I’ll be worried.

The poll’s sponsors did not release methodology or crosstabs.
That I find fishy.
I would love Nate Silver to weigh in on this poll.
This poll seems more agenda driven than science based.

Obviously their sample only included fellow travelers; and their sentence construction leads those to vote “yes”. Absolutely worthless without information on their methodology.

I think I want to take my own poll… Who thinks all people running for a political position should be NON-RELIGIOUS, and FOR THE PEOPLE!!

Low and behold, THATS WHAT THEY GET PAID FOR, NOT FOR PRAYING FOR OUR SOULS, OR RESTRICTING RIGHTS ON ONE GROUP, OR ANYTHING ELSE THE GOP IS PULLING!!!

The upcoming vote on the marriage amendment will bring a little clarity to this argument.

@HG you forgot to add the un constitutional word before marriage amendment vote.

Public Opinion Strategies is essentially Rasmussen. Nate Silver definitively proved that Rasmussen showed a 4-point Republican bias in the 21 days prior to the last election. This was particularly amazing, because Rasmussen usually begins honest polling during this period, while polls outside of that window are commonly heavily slanted toward Republicans. Mysteriously, Rasmussen’s polling always slowly slides more Democratic as the election approaches, and they always have a ready answer for why things ‘changed’. They apparently did not provide enough “adjustment” in 2010.

Likewise, Rasmussen uses a “likely voter” screen even when the election is more than a year away. Reputable pollsters know that predicting who is likely to vote more than 90 days from an election is an exercise in imagination. Nevertheless, Rasmussen explains away its outlier status by contending that they are measuring people who will actually vote.

The State Constitution is not a dictionary. It should not be amended to ‘define’ things, especially things that are already impermissible.

HG,
When we’re done voting for gay people’s civil rights, what other civil rights should we put up for a popular vote? What should be the “official” religion? Whether women should work? Opening up child labor restrictions?

The problem with having people decide a minorities civil rights is that is divides people up and makes society just a little more uglier.

Scott,

Marriage isn’t denied to anyone. We’re not voting on gay’s civil rights no matter how many times you say it. We’re voting to leave marriage unchanged. It’s a vote for marriage.