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	<title>Minnesota Independent: News. Politics. Media. &#187; ballot challenges</title>
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		<title>Recount Day 5: Coleman and Franken perfect their ballot-challenge tit-for-tat</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/18546/recount-day-5-coleman-and-franken-perfect-challenged-ballot-tit-for-tat</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/18546/recount-day-5-coleman-and-franken-perfect-challenged-ballot-tit-for-tat#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Nov 2008 02:33:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ballot challenges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenged ballots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[great pyramids]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ritchie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mathematical perfection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Secretary Of State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tit-for-tat]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=18546</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Forget the comparisons to Florida. Think the Great Pyramids instead.
Minnesota&#8217;s U.S. Senate recount is so refined, so elegant, so perfect that even its greatest excess &#8212; the unbridled, tit-for-tat ballot-challenges by both the Al Franken and Norm Coleman campaigns &#8212; has been raised to an art form. Monday&#8217;s recount action may have been replete with the apparent [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/perfect-art-collage-sq.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-18550" title="perfect-art-collage-sq" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/perfect-art-collage-sq-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" /></a>Forget the <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/17272/coleman-franken-recount-ritchie-florida">comparisons to Florida</a>. Think the Great Pyramids instead.</p>
<p>Minnesota&#8217;s U.S. Senate recount is so refined, so elegant, so perfect that even its greatest excess &#8212; the unbridled, tit-for-tat ballot-challenges by both the Al Franken and Norm Coleman campaigns &#8212; has been raised to an art form. Monday&#8217;s recount action may have been <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/18483/franken-to-ritchie-make-counties-find-missing-ballots">replete</a> with the apparent messiness of <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/18487/sixty-one-ballots-turn-up-in-becker-county-four-others-go-missing">lost-and-found ballots</a> and the seeming ugliness of surly officials sending challengers into tears, but it ended on a grace note of pure, mathematical-political-electoral beauty.</p>
<p>With more than 2 million ballots having been recounted (three-quarters of the 2.9 million that were cast on Nov. 4), the ballots that the Franken and Coleman camps have challenged are as near to being equal in number as near-equal can be: Coleman, 1,401; Franken 1,400.<span id="more-18546"></span></p>
<p>As the ballot challengers work in harmony with the music of the spheres, the <strong><em>un</em></strong>challenged ballots continued playing the same dirge on Monday that we&#8217;ve heard for weeks now: there&#8217;s an advantage for Coleman in the low three-digits. Today the gap between Coleman and Franken is 172, according to figures from <a href="http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20081104/SenateRecount.asp">Minnesota Secretary of State Mark Ritchie&#8217;s office</a>.</p>
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		<title>Recount Day 4: Coleman and Franken are neck-and-neck &#8212; in challenging ballots</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/18368/recount-day-4-coleman-and-franken-are-neck-and-neck-in-challenging-ballots</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/18368/recount-day-4-coleman-and-franken-are-neck-and-neck-in-challenging-ballots#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 23 Nov 2008 03:10:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[167]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1893]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[945]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[948]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ballot challenges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[canvassing board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenged ballots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[day four]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ritchie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neck and neck]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saturday]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[weekend]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=18368</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Even with limited activity Saturday in Minnesota's statewide U.S. Senate recount, Al Franken and Norm Coleman managed to challenge another 368 ballots. The stack that the State Canvassing Board will have to review is now 1,893 ballots high, after two-thirds of the ballots that were cast Nov. 4 have been recounted. Unless the candidates' campaigns change course, the challenges are on pace to reach nearly 3,000 ballots by the time the recount ends.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/neck-and-neck.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-18369" title="neck-and-neck" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/neck-and-neck-300x146.jpg" alt="" width="280" /></a>Even with limited activity Saturday in Minnesota&#8217;s statewide U.S. Senate recount, Al Franken and Norm Coleman managed to challenge another 368 ballots. The stack that the State Canvassing Board will have to review is now 1,893 ballots high, after two-thirds of the ballots that were cast Nov. 4 have been recounted. Unless the candidates&#8217; campaigns change course, the challenges are on pace to reach nearly 3,000 ballots by the time the recount ends.</p>
<p>In an election that the State Canvassing Board found was within 215 votes (in incumbent U.S. Sen. Coleman&#8217;s favor) after the initial canvass, the rival camps are now running virtually neck-and-neck in the amount of challenged ballots: Coleman has challenged 948; Franken, 945. The challenged ballots aren&#8217;t counted in the final total until the Canvassing Board reviews them.<span id="more-18368"></span></p>
<p>Meanwhile, the margin between the candidates continued to hover between 100 and 200 votes, standing at 167 (with Coleman still in the lead) as of 8 p.m. Saturday &#8212; when the office of Minnesota Secretary of State Mark Ritchie released its <a href="http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20081104/SenateRecount.asp">official figures</a> for the day. (The <a href="http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/senate/34880634.html">Star Tribune</a> keeps a different set of numbers based on its own information gathered before and after 8 p.m. at recount sites across the state.)</p>
<p>It&#8217;s so close that <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/18346/dems-to-minnesotans-abroad-phone-home-to-be-sure-votes-counted">Democrats have asked voters overseas to call their local election offices in Minnesota</a> to find out if their absentee ballots were rejected &#8212; and if they were, to relay that to the party immediately. The State Canvassing Board meets Wednesday to discuss the question of counting improperly rejected absentee ballots.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Hi ho, Nate Silver! If recount ballot challenges rise exponentially, they&#8217;ll hit 2,500</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/18180/nate-silver-if-recounts-ballot-challenges-rise-exponentially-theyll-hit-2500</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/18180/nate-silver-if-recounts-ballot-challenges-rise-exponentially-theyll-hit-2500#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2008 17:50:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[538]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ballot challenges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[challenged ballots]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fivethirtyeight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ritchie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nate Silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=18180</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Simple math tells us that if the Al Franken forces and the Norm Coleman camp keep ramping up the ballot challenges, they&#8217;ll reach a combined total of 1,732 challenged ballots by the end of Minnesota&#8217;s U.S. Senate recount. That&#8217;s if each campaign continues to increase its number of challenges in the neighborhood of 140 per [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/nate-with-hat.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-18215" title="nate-with-hat" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/nate-with-hat.jpg" alt="" width="127" height="191" /></a>Simple math tells us that if the Al Franken forces and the Norm Coleman camp keep ramping up the ballot challenges, they&#8217;ll reach a combined total of <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/18143/challenged-ballots-on-pace-to-top-1700-on-day-two-of-minnesota-recount">1,732 challenged ballots</a> by the end of Minnesota&#8217;s U.S. Senate recount. That&#8217;s if each campaign continues to increase its number of challenges in the neighborhood of 140 per day, as they did from Day One to Day Two.</p>
<p>(Minnesota Secretary of State <a href="http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/11/20/recount_results_day_two/">Mark Ritchie predicts 1,500 challenged ballots</a>, and fivethirtyeight.com&#8217;s <a href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/minnesota-perverse-incentives-to.html">Nate Silver estimates roughly 1,800.</a> But since every campaign challenger at every recount site represents an independent variable, I think<a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/18311/recount-day-3-franken-coleman-push-challenged-ballot-stack-past-1500"> my guess is as good as theirs</a>.)</p>
<p>More complicated math, working with the rate of increase rather than the hard-number jump, suggests the combined total could hit 2,518. <span id="more-18180"></span>That&#8217;s if each campaign were to continue to become increasingly picky over the next two days &#8212; at the same percentage rate of increase they showed from Day One to Day Two.</p>
<p>For Franken, the day-over-day increase so far is 42 percent, which if repeated on Day Three and Day Four of a projected four-day recount, would lead to a total of 1,233 challenges.</p>
<p>For Coleman, who had a 44 percent increase from Day One to Day Two, the grand total would be 1,285 challenged ballots, if he were to keep increasing his challenged ballots by 44 percent each day. Drilling down, that means he would challenge 373 on Day Three. And on Day Four, Coleman&#8217;s daily challenged ballot count would be &#8211; <a href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/coleman-lead-franken-by-136-votes-after.html">hold on to your hat, Nate Silver!</a> &#8211; 538.</p>
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