Exit polls

Nate Silver, the fivethirtyeight.com political wunderkind whose prognosticating acumen landed him on the cover of today’s New York Times business section, breaks down the probabilities of who will survive the ongoing vote count in Minnesota’s U.S. Senate race this morning (hat tip x 3: Braublog). His conclusion:
If, over the long run, we expect Franken to [...]

Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com published a great piece this morning about why you shouldn’t waste your time trying to google up exit poll leaks: They’re always wrong.
Some of the reasons (there are 10 in all):
1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls. This is because of what are known [...]