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	<title>Minnesota Independent &#187; ice out</title>
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		<title>Klobuchar was off by 42 minutes in forecasting a new Senator</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/32394/klobuchar-was-off-by-all-of-42-minutes-in-forecasting-new-minnesota-senator</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/32394/klobuchar-was-off-by-all-of-42-minutes-in-forecasting-new-minnesota-senator#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Apr 2009 04:57:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections/Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Environment/Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justice/Civil Liberties]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amy Klobuchar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Courts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election contest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[harry reid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ice out]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lake minnetonka]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Msnbc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rachel maddow]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[We knew she was killing, as in funny. Now it turns out Sen. Amy Klobuchar is also knowing, as in clairvoyant. Her prediction two months ago about when she'd gain a home-state companion in the U.S. Senate was within 42 minutes of a court ruling that Franken won. UPDATED with new video clip from Rachel Maddow's show. UPDATED again with video of Klobuchar on CNN. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/klobuchar1.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-21014" title="klobuchar1" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/12/klobuchar1-150x150.jpg" alt="klobuchar1" width="100" /></a>We knew she was <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/25570/her-washington-press-club-laff-riot-suggests-klobuchar-has-12-ex-boyfriend-donors">killing</a>, as in funny. Now it turns out U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar is also <a href="http://knowing-themovie.com/">knowing</a>, as in clairvoyant. A-Klo, Minnesota&#8217;s lone Senator since Norm Coleman&#8217;s term ended in early January, made a prediction on the Feb. 16 edition of MSNBC&#8217;s &#8220;The Rachel Maddow Show.&#8221; Klobuchar said she&#8217;d have a home-state companion in the Senate <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/26607/klobuchar-pawlenty-maddow-prince">by the time the ice was out on Lake Minnetonka</a> in suburban Minneapolis.</p>
<p>Fast forward to this week. On Monday, April 13, <a href="http://twitter.com/PolAnimal">at exactly 6 p.m.</a>, the three-judge panel in the Norm Coleman-Al Franken election-contest trial released its decision that <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/32044/judges-franken-won">Franken had indeed won election</a> to the U.S. Senate.</p>
<p>Now the spooky part: Precisely 42 minutes after the judges made their decision public, came the <a href="http://moundmn.blogspot.com/2009/04/and-winner-of-ice-out-contest-is.html">official declaration of ice-out</a> on Lake Minnetonka.  <span id="more-32394"></span></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s what Klobuchar said two months ago:</p>
<blockquote><p>My prediction, Rachel, is that we will have a new senator by the time the ice melts on Lake Minnetonka, which that is predicted to be April 11.</p></blockquote>
<p>She was wrong about April 11 &#8212; or rather, whoever&#8217;s prediction she cited was wrong. But ice-out day on Lake Minnetonka is hard to predict. <a href="http://www.waterpatrol.org/minnetonka/iceout.htm">Records show</a> it has come as early as March 11 (in 1878) and as late as May 8 (1856).</p>
<p>Now Klobuchar has taken some heat for some <a href="http://www.startribune.com/sports/outdoors/42283467.html">unforeseen consequences</a> of a law she authored banning lead in toys. But allowing for a broad interpretation of the phrase &#8220;have a new senator,&#8221; Klobuchar proved herself spectacularly accurate &#8211; off by less than an hour &#8211; about the timing of what history likely will show was the moment when Minnesota knew who its next Senator would be.</p>
<p>Much more accurate anyway than any of the predictions by the person in perhpas the best position to make something happen: Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, whose latest failed prognostication about filling Minnesota&#8217;s seat passed without incident on <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/27714/april-fools-day-is-reids-new-line-in-the-snow-for-seating-franken">April Fool&#8217;s Day</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Here&#8217;s the video clip from Maddow&#8217;s Feb. 16 program. </strong>Klobuchar&#8217;s prediction comes at the 3:45 mark.<br />
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<p><strong> And here&#8217;s Maddow again on April 17, with a segment based on this post (starts at about the 3:00 mark):</strong></p>
<div>
<p style="font-size: 11px; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: #999; margin-top: 5px; background: transparent; text-align: center; width: 425px;">Visit msnbc.com for <a style="text-decoration: none !important; border-bottom: 1px dotted #999 !important; font-weight: normal !important; height: 13px; color: #5799db !important;" href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com">Breaking News</a>, <a style="text-decoration: none !important; border-bottom: 1px dotted #999 !important; font-weight: normal !important; height: 13px; color: #5799db !important;" href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032507">World News</a>, and <a style="text-decoration: none !important; border-bottom: 1px dotted #999 !important; font-weight: normal !important; height: 13px; color: #5799db !important;" href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032072">News about the Economy</a></p>
</div>
<p>And here&#8217;s a video clip of Klobuchar on CNN&#8217;s &#8220;<a href="http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/politics/2009/04/19/obama.chavez.draws.heat.cnn?iref=videosearch">State of the Union with John King</a>&#8221; on April 19, (prediction talk starts at the 12:00 mark, <a href="http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0904/19/sotu.01.html">transcript</a> excerpt below):</p>
<p><script src="http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/.element/js/2.0/video/evp/module.js?loc=dom&#038;vid=/video/politics/2009/04/19/obama.chavez.draws.heat.cnn" type="text/javascript"></script><noscript>Embedded video from <a href="http://www.cnn.com/video">CNN Video</a></noscript></p>
<blockquote><p>KING: So, Senator Klobuchar, when will this be over? And I assume you&#8217;ve told Al Franken that even if he wins in the end, you will still be Minnesota&#8217;s funniest senator?</p>
<p>(LAUGHTER)</p>
<p>KLOBUCHAR: Well, all right, first of all, I would say this, and that is that Norm Coleman has a right to pursue his appeal to the Minnesota Supreme Court. But Minnesota also has a right to two senators. This has been going on for months now. Since December, our staff, I&#8217;m so proud of them, they&#8217;ve had double the case work. Everything from veterans benefits cases to people who have lost their Social Security checks to people who are trying to adopt babies in Guatemala that are stalled out.</p>
<p>Minnesota has that right to two senators. I&#8217;m hopeful the Minnesota Supreme Court is going to move very quickly on this. The law actually says in Minnesota that they have to set aside their other work.</p>
<p>Now, I had predicted this would be resolved when the ice melted on Lake Minnetonka, John. And the three-judge ruling came out, 42 minutes, the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources declared the ice had melted.</p>
<p>Now I predict this will be done when Minnesotans are allowed to swim in our lakes, which is Memorial weekend.</p>
<p>KING: I will have you back in five or six weeks, Memorial Day weekend. I think my math is about right on that. It might be a little more. Amy Klobuchar, John Ensign, senators both, thank you very much for being here today.</p></blockquote>
<p>(hat tip: MPR&#8217;s <a href="http://minnesota.publicradio.org/collections/special/columns/polinaut/archive/2009/04/klobuchar_on_se.shtml">Polinaut</a>)</p>
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