Photo: Paul Demko, MnIndy

Rep. Michele Bachmann, who is no stranger to violent rhetoric, told Fox News on Monday that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi would beat the Blue Dog Democrats to death over the public option — figuratively, of course.

On Fox News’ Brian & The Judge, She said, “[Pelosi] will either beat them to death, bludgeon them to death…or she will buy them off.”

Photo: house.gov

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s visit to an American Indian jobs center in Minneapolis today carries special (if little-known) resonance with either end of her political career, from the time she arrived in what later became her California congressional district to the recent rightwing taunts she has taken over terrorism.

Pelosi will tour the American Indian Opportunities Industrialization Center (AIOIC) with Mayor R.T. Rybak and U.S. Rep. Keith Ellison (whose benefit event she’ll also attend). The AIOIC is using more than $100,000 in federal economic-stimulus funds for a youth employment program.

The AIOIC was founded by the Minneapolis-based American Indian Movement (AIM) in 1979. The early years after AIM’s own founding in 1968 had been marked by a series of occupations sparked by a 1969 takeover at Alcatraz Island, site of an abandoned prison in San Francisco Bay.

That was the same year Pelosi moved to San Francisco with her husband Paul, a native of the city. His brother, Ronald Pelosi, had just joined the San Francisco Board of Supervisors after presiding over the city’s planning commission.

The city approved a plan for the private redevelopment of Alcatraz, which had stood vacant for five years since the closing of the federal prison. Within weeks, American Indian students began an occupation of the island, demanding a variety of programs from the federal government as payback for broken treaties.

The occupation of Alcatraz lasted 18 months, but its legacy lasted longer. It inspired nearly 75 other occupations, including the Twin Cities Naval Air Station in 1971 and, most famously, Wounded Knee in South Dakota in 1973.

Pelosi’s name has been linked to Alcatraz since January, when President Obama pledged to close the United States’ detention facility for suspected terrorists at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba.

Conservatives who opposed the closing of Guantanamo saw an opening to jab the speaker and began proposing that prisoners could be transferred from Guantanamo to Alcatraz. Pelosi countered that Alcatraz is now a national park (ABC video), but the Republican razzing that her resistance to the idea represents NIMBYism continues unabated.

Pelosi made another trip to Minnesota last fall to help the campaign of a man some might call Indian: Ashwin Madia, DFL candidate in the state’s Third Congressional District, whose parents emigrated from India.

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi’s chart features a plummeting job-loss line (direct from the  U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) in an olive green, set against red and blue for the past two economic recessions.

UPDATE: This chart and others like it have been called out as graphically deceptive for not taking into account changes in the size of the workforce. Check out a corrected version in a range of colors worthy of the wires inside a phone cable at calculatedriskblog.com.

Who better than the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research to provide the statistics for this chart by the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank, updated from last month (see earlier post) to show our current unemployment line in red now crossing the median (in teal) for the last 10 recessions. The harshest recession data is in periwinkle, the mildest in an olive drab.

Both charts also come in large:

In a curious but not unrelated footnote, a private memo surfaced today in which RNC chair Mike Duncan told Republican National Committee members that “Republicans have grown accustomed to having our party recognized as the ‘Party of Ideas,’ but we must acknowledge that many Americans today believe the party is stale and does not deserve that label.” He continued, “All Republicans have an obligation to develop principled solutions rather than falling back on ideology alone; we must show how our ideology can be applied to solve problems.”

(H/T: BrauBlog)

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (Calif.), Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (Md.), Majority Whip James Clyburn (S.C.), and House Democratic Caucus Chairman Rahm Emanuel (Ill.) have contributed thousands of dollars, held countless fundraisers and traveled across the country for Democratic candidates.

In Minnesota, Democratic leaders are campaigning hard for Ashwin Madia, as he vies for the open seat held by Rep. Jim Ramstad, who is retiring at year’s end.

Pelosi has contributed $14,000 from her campaign war chest and her political action committee to Madia’s effort, according to the latest FEC reports.

Hoyer has campaigned for Madia and has contributed $12,000; Clyburn has given $12,000; and Emanuel has campaigned, contributed $7,500, and raised money for Madia, too.

A recent poll conducted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which has spent more than $1.3 million to help Madia win, showed him leading by five points.

Stuart Rothenberg, the author of the nonpartisan Rothenberg Report, wrote that the race “now leans toward Madia … the race is still close, but the political environment is awful for Republicans and the DCCC is in big time for their nominee.”

Despite the communal effort by party leadership to increase the size of the Democratic majority, self-interest is at stake, too.

Pelosi, Hoyer, Clyburn and Emanuel are all campaigning hard to curry favor with future colleagues who will have a say in whether they remain Democratic leaders.

In the weeks after the election, Democrats will meet in Washington, D.C., and hold internal party elections (Republicans will hold their own elections, too). When Congress meets in early January, House members will vote to determine who will be Speaker of the House. The vote normally is split along party lines, so Pelosi will be reelected easily if all Democrats support her.

But leadership races are often contentious, revealing a party’s inner turmoil as well as a lawmaker’s political skills. So the allegiance of incoming freshmen can be crucial.

Perhaps no recent Congressional leader was better at the care and feeding of future members of Congress than former Rep. Tom DeLay (R-Texas), who campaigned tirelessly in 1994 for Republican candidates who eventually won.

He not only raised and contributed money to them, but also sent them care packages full of office supplies, toiletries and snacks. The loyalty he won from GOP candidates helped propel DeLay past then-Speaker Newt Gingrich’s favored candidate to become the majority whip.

In the case of today’s Democrats, the current leadership has worked well together during the past two years and the leadership team will remain in place during the 111th Congress. But leaders will face a big test in 2010, when Rep. Rahm Emanuel (D-Ill.), the Democratic Caucus chairman and fourth ranking member of leadership, reaches his two-term limit as caucus chair. It’s either up or out for Emanuel at that point.

Emanuel, a former senior aide to President Clinton before winning a seat in Congress in 2002, led the Democrats to victory in the 2006 mid-term elections as chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

What Emanuel chooses to do after the 2010 midterm elections, as well as how he manages his relationship with a President Obama, could have far-reaching consequences for the party’s leadership. He normally chooses the most aggressive and ambitious course of action and has let reporters know that he wants to be the first Jewish Speaker of the House.

“Both Pelosi and Hoyer are same age, both love their jobs, and both could be there for another six years,” a Democratic lobbyist with close ties to House leaders said. “No question that if [Emanuel] stays he will be speaker. The question is whether he can wait.”

“He’s on a path to someday be speaker,” another Democratic lobbyist said. “It’s a question of what are the stepping stones along the way and how long will it take?”

With days to go before the 2008 election, speculation about the 2010 midterms and future party leadership might appear pointless given how much can change.

But leadership races determine who sets the party’s message and agenda in Washington, as well as who advises the Speaker and majority leader. So until the moment comes when Emanuel has to give up his post as Democratic Caucus chairman, he and the other House leaders are busy collecting chits and building new relationships with possible newcomers like Madia.

Jonathan E. Kaplan is the Center for Independent Media’s Washington correspondent.

A fat cat lights up in the new DCCC ad

While the country turned its fickle eyes to Minnesota’s suddenly compelling 6th Congressional District contest, the race for the state’s 3rd District didn’t stop being hot. Over the last two days, both major parties’ congressional committees unveiled new TV ads. Big male guns vouched for the Republican candidate, state Rep. Erik Paulsen, and big female guns tried to widen a gender gap in favor of DFLer Ashwin Madia — while heaping derision on another female office-holder, state Rep. Michele Bachmann. All this and more, with video and details about tonight’s candidate debate in Edina, after the jump.

Candidate debate tonight

Independence Party candidate David Dillon will join Paulsen and Madia on stage at Edina High School’s Fick Auditorium tonight, Wednesday, Oct. 22, at 8 p.m. for a debate sponsored by Debate Minnesota. Click here for directions to the event at 6754 Valleyview Road, Edina.

Both major parties’ congressional committees on TV again

When last heard from in the 3rd District race, the National Republican Campaign Committee was canceling reservations for TV ad time one week after the next. Now they’re back in the game with a new ad called “Running to Raise Taxes” that bashes Madia on Paulsen’s behalf. The NRCC shelled out $96,500 for spots this week on KMSP and KSTP, and another $350,000 for spots next week through Election Day on those stations plus WCCO, according to MPR’s TV ad database.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee continues to roll out TV ads attacking Paulsen. The latest is called “Our Tax Dollars for Their Cash Bonuses.”

Paulsen’s ad slammed

Meanwhile, the Paulsen campaign’s own new ad earned a D grade in a “Truth Test” evaluation by KSTP’s Tom Hauser, who called its claims “misleading” and “false.” Ironically, Hauser cites distortions in how Paulsen mixes and matches quotes and images from harsh evaluations Hauser himself gave earlier to ads produced by Madia and the DCCC.  He also calls out Paulsen for quoting a Madia statement on taxes out of context, as MnPublius caught early on.

Men for Paulsen, Women for Madia

Many prominent hands gripped podiums on Monday in separate press events for Paulsen and Madia. Perhaps as striking as the speakers’ prominence was the sharp gender split that mirrors a gender gap that’s growing in recent polls. Gov. Tim Pawlenty and U.S. Rep. John Kline were part of a seven-man team at the state Capitol vouching for Paulsen’s record on veterans. Across town in Bloomington, Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Minnesota House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher were kicking off (somewhat belatedly?) a campaign called Women for Madia. The boy-girl split on those two panels reflected a gender gap in voter support for Madia and Paulsen revealed in the latest SurveyUSA poll: Men back Paulsen by a margin of 51–37 percentage points, while women favor Madia by a margin of 51–40 percentage points. It’s a gap that’s grown slightly since an earlier survey by the same organization in late August, and possibly could have widened further with Pelosi’s visit — had her criticism of Bachmann not eclipsed the Women for Madia message. 

(The Republican male lineup is on view in a Paulsen campaign video. MPR has a whopping nine audio clips from Monday’s dueling press events.)

And as if on cue, NARAL Pro-Choice America declared this to be “Ashwin Madia Week,” one of a series of “Race of the Week” fundraising and attention-raising efforts. Here’s how a spokesperson described it in a statement sent to the Minnesota Independent:

NARAL Pro-Choice America will drop a total of four mail pieces and our volunteers will make calls in support of pro-choice Ashwin Madia. Madia’s record on a woman’s right to choose is far superior to that of his opponent’s and we look forward to working with him when he becomes a congressman. NARAL Pro-Choice America will do everything we can to make sure that’s possible. While we can’t confirm the amount of donations we drive to a campaign with our blog posts, we can confirm that NARAL Pro-Choice America PAC has sent the maximum amount allowed by the FEC to his campaign. Our PAC is funded by our members so they pay close attention to our endorsements and “Race of the Week” picks. Our political director routinely receives calls from members and activists about candidates and races to support throughout the country and we always make sure to mention Ashwin Madia’s race.

Speaker of the U.S. House Nancy Pelosi (shown), U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Minnesota House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher will kick off an apparently new Women for Madia campaign in Bloomington Monday morning. Photo: house.gov

Two indications that the tight 3rd Congressional District race remains in the nation’s crosshairs, even as U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann’s antics in the 6th District grab headlines.

First, the big guns keep coming: Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., whose very name and title are enough to spur derisive jeers at Republican rallies, will campaign in person with DFL 3rd District candidate Ashwin Madia today. (Republican House Minority Leader John Boehner visited the state on Paulsen’s behalf last week.)

And the national media continue to turn attention to the Twin Cities’ western suburbs. (Today it’s a profile of the contest with focus on Madia in the Washington Post — whose Chris Cillizza, keeper of The Fix blog, on Friday abruptly and inexplicably left the 3rd District race off his list of the 25 races for U.S. House where parties are most likely to lose seats, to the consternation of commenters.)

But in a sign that the spectacle in the 6th is drawing focus and donation dollars, Madia released a statement this morning, saying, “Bachmann’s comments represent the very worst in American politics.”

‘Disturbing’ Paulsen ad
Over the weekend, Republican state Sen. Erik Paulsen released a new ad called “Disturbing” that stays warm and fuzzy for about two seconds before turning on the attack graphics and low-register voice-over delivering (disputed) warnings about who Madia will tax and how often he has lied about it:

Three-way debate
KSTP-TV hosted a debate with all three candidates Friday evening. Here is the full hourlong video:

Dillon speaks!
Earlier on Friday, Independence Party candidate David Dillon took his turn in the U of M Humphrey Institute’s series of noontime events with the 3rd District contenders. (Madia and Paulsen appeared earlier in the week.) Here is a liveblog of the Dillon event, courtesy of the Humphrey Institute’s Smart Politics blog, which also profiled the race over the weekend. And here is audio from Dillon’s appearance, courtesy of MPR’s Polinaut blog (if audio player doesn’t appear below, visit the Polinaut page:

House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, said, “The speaker had to give a partisan voice that poisoned our conference, caused a number of members that we thought we could get to go south.”

Pelosi’s speech chastised the Bush administration for its part in the economic crisis, something Boehner said was responsible for them abandoning conviction and switching their vote.

But Bachmann flatly rejected Boehner’s rationale. “I want to assure you that was not the case. We are not babies who suck our thumbs. We have very principled reasons for voting no,” reported Roll Call Monday evening.

Her comments were almost identical to those of Democratic leaders. Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., said, “Here’s the story: There’s a terrible crisis affecting the American economy. We have come together on a bill to alleviate the crisis. And because somebody hurt their feelings they decide to punish the country.”

“[A] person familiar with the phone call said what might have upset Pelosi is that Weinstein also suggested that if Democratic leaders ‘did not fix’ the Florida and Michigan problem, powerful Democrats may abandon the eventual party nominee in favor of Sen. John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee, in November.

“But the three officials briefed on the call insisted Weinstein went further by suggesting that if Pelosi did not consider his proposal on the revote, he would help slow the flow of donations to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which works to elect House Democrats.”

Read the story.