Polls
Big Ten Poll: Obama has narrow lead in Minnesota
The Big Ten Battleground Poll of the eight states that are home to the eleven universities in the Big Ten conference shows competitive races within the margin of error in all but Illinois.
More details, plus video, below the jump.
Palin popularity plummets: a 21-point point swing in one week
In the week since Sarah Palin’s first major interview aired on ABC, her popularity has taken a dramatic tumble. Per this week’s CBS/New York Times poll, “Obama leads McCain 54 percent to 38 percent among all women. He holds a two point edge among white women, a 21 percentage point swing in Obama’s direction from [...]
A surge of his own: Obama rebounding in the polls
Whether it’s a matter of a) heightened economic fears, b) Obama/Biden’s newly aggressive tack, c) Palin fatigue, or d) all of the above, Barack Obama has seen his polling fortunes tick upward this week. Pollster.com’s national survey-of-surveys captures it in the chart below:
Obama widens lead in Minnesota
While Republicans are conducting their convention business in the Twin Cities, they may want to take a moment and attempt to woo a few more Minnesota voters on John McCain’s behalf. A new Time/CNN poll of Minnesota has Democratic nominee Barack Obama with a 12-point lead among Minnesota voters in a head-to-head match-up 53 percent [...]
The polls: If there’s a Biden bounce, it’s backwards
Some public opinion numbers pertaining to the Joe Biden pick: In the CNN/Opinion Research poll released yesterday–the first survey taken entirely after the selection of Biden as Barack Obama’s running mate–McCain and Obama are tied 47-47 in a survey that Obama led by 7 points, 51-44, a month ago.
And today’s Gallup tracking poll, covering the [...]
SurveyUSA state polls: Obama leading McCain in Ohio and Pennsylvania; Tim who?
SurveyUSA is conducting a series of polls in 17 states to test the popularity of various Republican and Democratic presidential tickets. It’s a dubious endeavor to the extent that many of the VP hopefuls bruited about have little national name recognition at this point, but the top-line results pitting Barack Obama versus John McCain are [...]
Follow-up: Strib Minnesota Poll editor on the Ciresi factor
Yesterday I wrote that the Strib’s Minnesota Poll on the US Senate race was the first survey by any organization to include Mike Ciresi in its questionnaire since Ciresi dropped out of the race on March 10. This afternoon I spoke with the editor of the paper’s Politically Connected section, Dennis McGrath, who oversees the [...]
Polls: Late Oregon numbers split on whether race is tightening there; Obama surges nationally
Here are the results of four different polls from Oregon that were taken between May 14 and May 18. Two of them indicate a fairly dramatic closing of the gap by Hillary Clinton; two of them do not. (Click on the image to see a larger version of Pollster’s tracking chart for Oregon.)
American Research Group [...]
New Star Tribune Minnesota Poll on Senate race deals a wild card: Ciresi
In politics there are races that someone wins and races that someone manages not to lose for the simple reason that not everyone can lose. The Minnesota US Senate contest is shaping up to be one of the latter. In one corner there is the not-very-popular, Bush-associated Republican officeholder with job approval ratings in the [...]
Is there any particular reason the Strib ignores poll data unfavorable to Pawlenty’s VP chances?
In this week’s Rasmussen Poll, as in two previous ones, Minnesotans were asked if they’d be more or less likely to vote for a Republican presidential candidate if Tim Pawlenty were his wingman. Since the question first appeared, Pawlenty’s fortunes seem to have flipped: Last September, 38 percent of those polled said a potential “VP [...]









