The Minnesota Independent

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SurveyUSA state polls: Obama leading McCain in Ohio and Pennsylvania; Tim who?

By Steve Perry | 05.27.08 | 8:54 am

SurveyUSA is conducting a series of polls in 17 states to test the popularity of various Republican and Democratic presidential tickets. It’s a dubious endeavor to the extent that many of the VP hopefuls bruited about have…

Follow-up: Strib Minnesota Poll editor on the Ciresi factor

By Steve Perry | 05.20.08 | 2:09 pm

Yesterday I wrote that the Strib’s Minnesota Poll on the US Senate race was the first survey by any organization to include Mike Ciresi in its questionnaire since Ciresi dropped out of the race on March…

Polls: Late Oregon numbers split on whether race is tightening there; Obama surges nationally

By Steve Perry | 05.20.08 | 9:49 am

Here are the results of four different polls from Oregon that were taken between May 14 and May 18. Two of them indicate a fairly dramatic closing of the gap by Hillary Clinton; two of them do…

New Star Tribune Minnesota Poll on Senate race deals a wild card: Ciresi

By Steve Perry | 05.19.08 | 12:41 pm

In politics there are races that someone wins and races that someone manages not to lose for the simple reason that not everyone can lose. The Minnesota US Senate contest is shaping up to be one of the…

Is there any particular reason the Strib ignores poll data unfavorable to Pawlenty’s VP chances?

By Paul Schmelzer | 04.25.08 | 4:26 pm

In this week’s Rasmussen Poll, as in two previous ones, Minnesotans were asked if they’d be more or less likely to vote for a Republican presidential candidate if Tim Pawlenty were his wingman.…

New Rasmussen Minnesota poll: Good news for Obama, Clinton, Coleman; bad news for Franken, Pawlenty

By Steve Perry | 04.24.08 | 1:40 pm

A new Rasmussen Reports survey shows Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton widening their lead over John McCain in Minnesota. Meanwhile, though, Republican incumbent Norm Coleman is likewise pulling further ahead of Al Franken in the state’s US…

Outside Pennsylvania, a bad week for Hillary in the polls

By Steve Perry | 04.18.08 | 10:11 am

As we noted a couple of days ago, you can make pretty much anything you want of the voter surveys flying thick and fast from Pennsylvania this week. But recent days have also seen a…

SurveyUSA: Obama leads McCain in Minnesota; Clinton v. McCain a dead heat

By Steve Perry | 04.18.08 | 9:32 am

New survey data released yesterday by SurveyUSA have Barack Obama leading John McCain in a head-to-head race by a 49-43 margin. Hillary Clinton leads McCain by a statistically insignificant 47-46; the margin of error is…

PA roundup: Pick a poll, any poll; new Obama ad attacks new HRC ad

By Steve Perry | 04.16.08 | 12:01 pm

How close is the Pennsylvania race? Regardless of your opinion, there is a poll to appeal to your prejudices. If you think Clinton is headed for a double-digit win, you’ve got ARG (Hillary 57-37) and…

More PA polls: Clinton lead ranges from 6 to 14 points

By Steve Perry | 04.15.08 | 8:44 am

Following yesterday’s release of an American Research Group poll showing Hillary Clinton with a 20-point lead over Barack Obama in Pennsylvania (previous item), there are two new sets of survey data this morning. The Quinnipiac…