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	<title>Minnesota Independent: News. Politics. Media. &#187; U.S. Senate</title>
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		<title>State Supreme Court sets dates in Coleman&#8217;s appeal &#8212; on his timetable</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/33241/minnesota-supreme-court-sets-dates-in-colemans-appeal</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/33241/minnesota-supreme-court-sets-dates-in-colemans-appeal#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2009 14:22:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Courts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[june 1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Supreme Court]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oral argument]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Oral arguments in Norm Coleman&#8217;s senate-election appeal are set for June 1, the Minnesota Supreme Court announced in an order (pdf) issued this morning &#8212; a schedule that adopts Coleman&#8217;s slower-paced proposal rather than Franken&#8217;s fast-track plan.  The order allows only the standard hour for both sides to make their oral arguments, unless the judges make [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/11x14newsmall1.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-33092" title="11x14newsmall1" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/11x14newsmall1-150x117.jpg" alt="11x14newsmall1" width="150" height="117" /></a>Oral arguments in Norm Coleman&#8217;s senate-election appeal are set for June 1, the Minnesota Supreme Court announced in an order (<a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/order42409.pdf">pdf</a>) issued this morning &#8212; a schedule that adopts <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/32985/coleman-seeks-slower-court-schedule">Coleman&#8217;s slower-paced proposal</a> rather than <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/32929/franken-hurry-up-appeal">Franken&#8217;s fast-track plan</a>.  <span id="more-33241"></span>The order allows only the standard <a href="http://twitter.com/theuptake">hour</a> for both sides to make their oral arguments, unless the judges make an <a href="http://www.courts.state.mn.us/rules/appellate/RCAP.htm#a134">exception</a>. </p>
<p>The court also set dates and deadlines for Norm Coleman&#8217;s appeal of an election-contest court decision that Al Franken won Coleman&#8217;s old U.S. Senate seat. Coleman&#8217;s appeal brief is due April 30. Franken&#8217;s reply is due May 11, to which Coleman must reply by May 15.</p>
<p>The order removes any doubt that the state&#8217;s high court would accept Coleman&#8217;s petition to appeal the special three-judge panel&#8217;s ruling that the former senator is still 312 votes short of the total votes amassed by the former comedian. Approximately 2.9 million Minnesotans cast ballots in the race. </p>
<p>It also quashes hopes and <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/32394/klobuchar-was-off-by-all-of-42-minutes-in-forecasting-new-minnesota-senator">predictions</a> that Minnesota might have a second U.S. Senator seated by Memorial Day. One expert has speculated that the state Supreme Court justices might take <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/32473/gardebring-supreme-court-schultz">two to three weeks to rule after hearing oral arguments</a>. </p>
<p>A <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/33090/minnesota-supreme-court-recusals">minor order issued yesterday</a> in the case was signed by only five of the court&#8217;s justices, signaling that as with earlier high-court decisions, only those who did not serve on the State Canvassing Board (which oversaw the statewide hand recount in the race) will deliberate on Coleman&#8217;s appeal.</p>
<p>Yesterday&#8217;s order also suggested that justices who made financial contributions to the candidates before joining the bench &#8212; even to Coleman&#8217;s 2008 campaign &#8212; won&#8217;t recuse themselves from considering the appeal.</p>
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		<title>&#8216;Ordinary voter&#8217; in New York Times recount story has strong GOP ties</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/17591/ordinary-voter-in-new-york-times-recount-story-has-strong-gop-ties</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/17591/ordinary-voter-in-new-york-times-recount-story-has-strong-gop-ties#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Nov 2008 00:15:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RNC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[christina capecchi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Biden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Margaret Anderson Kelliher]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ritchie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[noah rouen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nyt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ordinary voter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pheasant hunting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rod Grams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=17591</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A man presented as an "ordinary voter" in a New York Times article today about the impending recount in Minnesota's U.S. Senate race has strong ties to the Republican Party and conservative causes that the article does not reveal. Noah Rouen says he told writer Christina Capecchi about his background. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/rouen-capecchi.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-17592" title="rouen-capecchi" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/rouen-capecchi.jpg" alt="" width="248" height="154" /></a>A man presented as an &#8220;ordinary voter&#8221; in a New York Times article today about the impending recount in Minnesota&#8217;s U.S. Senate race has strong ties to the Republican Party and conservative causes that the article does not reveal.</p>
<p>In the article, &#8220;<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/15/us/politics/15minnesota.html">Minnesota Senate Rivals Dig In for Recount Battle,&#8221;</a> reporter Christina Capecchi (who also <a href="http://www.minnpost.com/christinacapecchi/">writes for MinnPost</a>), identifies Noah Rouen only as a 34-year-old who &#8220;swore off political talk on a pheasant hunt last weekend.&#8221; When he and his buddies heard of the now-legendary (and debunked) <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/17385/recount-hannity-pawlenty-car-ballot-lie">32-ballots-in-a-car-trunk story</a>, Capecchi writes, &#8220;They could not help but hatch a conspiracy theory.&#8221;</p>
<p>One reason Rouen might be given to such theories about votes favoring Democrat Al Franken is that <a href="http://www.oah.state.mn.us/aljBase/032019824.primafacie.htm">Democrats accused him of participating in a conspiracy to distribute false campaign materials against Franken</a> last summer. In a complaint &#8212; later dismissed &#8212; to the state Office of Administrative Hearing, DFL Party chair Brian Melendez named Rouen along with two other individuals and the Coalition for a Democratic Workplace as being behind a television ad that made charges against Franken related to the Employee Free Choice Act (EFCA).</p>
<p>The complaint says Rouen was a delegate to this year&#8217;s Republican National Convention (RNC) and for two years was a staff member for former U.S. Sen. Rod Grams, R-Minn. Rouen&#8217;s biography at the Web site of his current employer &#8212; a St. Paul-based media relations firm called <a href="http://www.pubaffairsco.com/staff_noah.htm">Public Affairs Co.</a>, where he is vice president &#8212; describes his service to Grams as a staffer and press secretary. Public Affairs Co. rebranded itself as <a href="http://www.gopconventionstrategies.com/index-2.html">GOP Convention Strategies</a> in a marketing push timed to the RNC.</p>
<p>In an interview with the Minnesota Independent, Rouen said that he worked for Grams&#8217; campaign as well from 1999 to 2000. He said while that level of partisan activity is in his past &#8212; he called work for the &#8220;Vote Yes Minnesota&#8221; referendum campaign his most partisan activity this year &#8212; he &#8220;makes no bones&#8221; about being a Republican or having voted for U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman.</p>
<p>Rouen said he gave Capecchi, who found him via a Facebook group called &#8220;Looking for Coleman Ballots,&#8221; his whole background during a 30-minute interview two days ago. He said he was surprised to be identified only as a pheasant hunter in the Times article, and in fact was somewhat surprised to be included at all, given how the ballots-in-the-trunk story has since &#8220;evolved.&#8221; (On <a href="http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/11/14/minn_board_absentee_ballots/" target="_blank">Minnesota Public Radio</a> today, Secretary of State Mark Ritchie reiterated that the story was false, calling for those who started the rumor to speak up.)</p>
<p>Capecchi did not return phone messages and e-mails from the Minnesota Independent. The New York Times also has not responded to an email.</p>
<p>Rouen&#8217;s political background isn&#8217;t hard to trace. In 2002, he ran for the Minnesota House of Representatives in District 60A but was defeated by DFLer Margaret Anderson Kelliher, now speaker of the House. That year he also served as spokesman for the Rod Grams Minnesota Victory Club, a political action committee formed to aid candidates in local races. A frequent writer of letters on newspaper opinion pages, Rouen had a letter that ridiculed Sen. Joe Biden, D-Del., the Democratic vice presidential candidate, published in the Oct. 31 edition of the St. Paul Pioneer Press.</p>
<p>Rouen is featured at the end of the second half of the Times article, which contains a series of quotes from political officials and commentators that are introduced by this sentence:</p>
<blockquote><p>As the recount nears, brickbats from the candidates, their surrogates and ordinary voters are coming fast and furious.</p></blockquote>
<p>After quotes from mainly conservative sources &#8212; itself a <a href="http://mediamatters.org/countyfair/200811140003" target="_blank">point of complaint by</a> Media Matters (<a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/17441/media-monitor-sad-news-in-shakopee-online-forum-shuttered-in-mankato" target="_blank">referenced</a> by MnIndy on Friday) &#8212; Capecchi concludes her article with this:</p>
<blockquote><p>Noah Rouen, 34, and his buddies swore off political talk on a pheasant hunt last weekend, but when they heard that 32 absentee ballots favoring Mr. Franken were not counted until days later, having been locked in a Minneapolis elections office, they could not help but hatch a conspiracy theory.</p>
<p>On Tuesday morning, Mr. Rouen logged onto Facebook and updated his status: “Noah is looking for Coleman ballots in his car.”</p></blockquote>
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		<item>
		<title>Political Championship Wrestling: Franken and Coleman have at it</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/17430/political-championship-wrestling-franken-and-coleman-have-at-it</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/17430/political-championship-wrestling-franken-and-coleman-have-at-it#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2008 22:19:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political championship wrestling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[professional wrestling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rematch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wrestler porn]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[When last heard from on election night, the parallel drama at Political Championship Wrestling found U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman on the ropes and challenger Al Franken&#8217;s arm raised in triumph:
Franken nails Coleman with a road sign. He next pulls out a cheese grater and rubs it across Coleman’s forehead. Suave: “CHEESE GRATER! CHEESE GRATER! COLEMAN [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/pcw.jpg"></a><span style="color: #0000ee; text-decoration: underline;"><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/al-wrestling.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-17427" title="al-wrestling" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/al-wrestling-254x300.jpg" alt="" width="142" height="167" /></a></span>When last heard from on election night, the parallel drama at <a href="http://bucklandcounty.blogspot.com/2008/11/114-pcw-extreme-election-night-2008.html">Political Championship Wrestling</a> found U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman on the ropes and challenger Al Franken&#8217;s arm raised in triumph:</p>
<blockquote><p>Franken nails Coleman with a road sign. He next pulls out a cheese grater and rubs it across Coleman’s forehead. Suave: “CHEESE GRATER! CHEESE GRATER! COLEMAN IS BADLY BUSTED OPEN!” Franken pulls a ladder from underneath the ring and clock Coleman with it. Franken grabs a garbage can and drops toe holds Coleman onto it. Cover. Two count. Coleman staggers back up and Franken knocks him right back out with a steel chair. Crowd: &#8220;HOLY S@#$#&#8230; HOLY S@#$#.&#8221; Franken puts Coleman on top of the ladder and climbs up on the corner turnbuckle. Franken leaps off the turnbuckle and crushes Coleman on the metal ladder. Crowd: &#8220;HOLY S@#$#&#8230; HOLY S@#$#.&#8221; Franken covers. 1…2…3.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://bucklandcounty.blogspot.com/2008/11/franken-vs-coleman-ii-signed-for-1125.html">New blow-by-blow reportage today</a> has Norm and Al brawling in the parking lot afterward, with the promise of a grudge rematch set for Nov. 25. And you missed the three-way action involving former U.S. Sen. Dean Barkley that ramped up when Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and SNLster Tina Fey joined the fray.</p>
<p>You could call the writing wrestler porn, but that four-letter word&#8217;s already tapped out in this race. The scribes at <a href="http://www.bucklandcounty.com/PCW-main.html">Political Championship Wrestling prefer to call it PHEW!</a>: Political Hardcore Extreme Wrestling. To get all elitist-high brow on their asses, it reads a bit like an opera libretto that got shredded together with a Wolf Blitzer transcript.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Does politicking since Nov. 4 smear officials, process? Election judges say no</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/17308/does-politicking-since-nov-4-smear-officials-process-election-judges-say-no</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/17308/does-politicking-since-nov-4-smear-officials-process-election-judges-say-no#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 19:07:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election judges]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Press Conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[press releases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sliming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[smearing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=17308</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Charges are flying that post-election lawsuits, press releases, talking points, and media (un)availabilities are smearing -- or worse, interfering in --  Minnesota's election process, and sliming -- or worse, intentionally intimidating -- the state's election officials. Setting aside for the moment the current and serious question of whether intimidation tactics are in play, it's worth hearing out two Minnesota Independent commenters, self-identified election judges both, who say they don't feel slimed by basic calls for review, recount and investigation.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/elec-judge-signs-small.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-17309" title="elec-judge-signs-small" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/elec-judge-signs-small-225x300.jpg" alt="" width="152" height="202" /></a>Charges are flying that post-election <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/16981/coleman-files-for-injunction-on-32-absentee-ballots-suit-dismissed">lawsuits</a>, press releases, <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/17272/coleman-franken-recount-ritchie-florida">talking points</a> and <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/17200/for-third-time-sen-coleman-denies-press-from-press-conference">media (un)availabilities</a> are smearing &#8212; or worse, interfering in &#8212;  Minnesota&#8217;s election process, and sliming &#8212; or worse, intentionally intimidating &#8212; the state&#8217;s election officials. Setting aside for the moment the current and serious question of whether intimidation tactics are in play, it&#8217;s worth <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/16962/dfl-talk-of-proper-recount-makes-republican-sick">hearing out two Minnesota Independent commenters</a>, self-identified election judges both, who say they don&#8217;t feel slimed by basic calls for reviews, recounts and investigations. A sample:</p>
<blockquote><p>I am not at all insulted &#8230; I try to be understanding of why people feel suspicious. &#8230;  I encourage everyone to just chill &#8230; I want all votes to be counted properly &#8230;</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-17308"></span></p>
<p>Stephanie wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>I am a head election judge in an Anoka County precinct and I am not at all insulted by the requirement for a statewide recount. It might feel different if only certain counties or precincts were picked out for a recount, but in an election with &lt; .01% variance a manual recount of every ballot seems like a reasonable precaution.</p>
<p>It is my experience that virtually all election judges are doing their best to ensure that all election laws are followed to the best of our ability, but we don’t dispute the obvious — that neither human officials nor our voting technology are perfect. I suspect that the vote totals for both candidates will go up as a result of a manual recount, simply because there are a certain number of ballots in which the voter’s intent will be obvious to human counters but not to the optical scanner.</p>
<p>I know that some voters are suspicious of elections officials and after the disaster of the 2000 Florida election I try to be understanding of why people feel suspicious. I don’t, however, think that Ms. Janacek is expressing <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/16962/dfl-talk-of-proper-recount-makes-republican-sick">honest concern</a>. This is her usual MO of disingenuously spreading BS when she actually knows better.</p>
<p>I am pleased by the way the Secretary of State has handled himself so far. I encourage everyone to just chill and let the process provided for by our laws be carried out. It will be carefully supervised both by those entrusted by law and by representatives of both parties so there is little opportunity for anything to happen other than a higher degree of certainty.</p></blockquote>
<p>Marie wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>Isn’t it interesting that the Republicans sound like they are against due process (the recount) and against state rights (it is a MN law to recount under .5 percent). The votes will fall where they may.</p>
<p>I am an election judge as well. I want all votes to be counted properly and at this minimal difference, it’s imperative that it be done by hand. The process will start about Nov 19th and take as long as necessary. I think the Republican anger is partially because they were out spent this whole election cycle. Normally it’s the Democrats who are short on cash. . . this time it was the Republicans.</p></blockquote>
<p>(Note that these comments came in Nov. 9, before the latest round of charges and counter-charges.)</p>
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		<title>Ritchie on MPR: Winner of Franken-Coleman recount will be seated in Jan.</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/16859/ritchie-on-mpr-winner-of-franken-coleman-recount-will-be-seated-jan-20</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/16859/ritchie-on-mpr-winner-of-franken-coleman-recount-will-be-seated-jan-20#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 18:43:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jan. 20]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Ritchie]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=16859</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The man in charge of the recount in Minnesota's U.S. Senate election predicts that come Inauguration Day, the dust will be settled enough for either Norm Coleman or Al Franken to take the oath of office.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/ritchie-cropped.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-16870" title="ritchie-cropped" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/ritchie-cropped.jpg" alt="" width="117" height="126" /></a>The man in charge of the recount in Minnesota&#8217;s U.S. Senate election predicts that come Inauguration Day, the dust will be settled enough for either incumbent Republican Norm Coleman or Democrat Al Franken to take the oath of office. Minnesota Secretary of State Mark Ritchie&#8217;s comment came at the end of <a href="http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/11/07/midday1/">an hourlong appearance on Minnesota Public Radio</a>&#8217;s &#8220;Midday&#8221; program in which he said several times that he couldn&#8217;t predict the actions of partisan attorneys or judges who might try to short-circuit the state recount.</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>MPR&#8217;s Gary Eichten:</strong> &#8220;Will we have a U.S. Senator seated in Washington on Jan. 20?&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Ritchie:</strong> &#8220;At least one.&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>MPR:</strong> &#8220;What about two?&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>Ritchie:</strong> &#8221;Gary, I&#8217;m gonna go out on a limb and say, &#8216;Yes.&#8217;&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Current vote count tracked <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/16726/colemans-lead-slips-to-437">here</a>. Note: The Senate&#8217;s swearing-in is set for Jan. 6, not Jan. 20.</p>
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		<title>Could Franken win? Coleman&#8217;s lead slips to 438 336 239 221 204 206 votes</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/16726/colemans-lead-slips-to-437</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/16726/colemans-lead-slips-to-437#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 16:36:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Schmelzer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tie]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=16726</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Norm Coleman's razor-thin lead over Al Franken keeps getting even tighter. We'll update the tally as it changes.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/picture-47.png"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-15794" title="franken-coleman" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/picture-47.png" alt="" width="295" height="145" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Updated: </strong>Norm Coleman&#8217;s razor-thin lead over Al Franken keeps getting even tighter. Yesterday, Coleman&#8217;s lead was <a href="http://www.minnpost.com/braublog/2008/11/06/4415/state_website_colemans_lead_keeps_dropping" target="_blank">477 votes</a>, but as of 10:45 a.m. Thursday, it&#8217;s now a <a href="http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20081104/ElecRslts.asp?M=S&amp;R=all&amp;P=A&amp;Races=%27%27" target="_blank">438-vote gap</a>. <strong>[At 4:15 took a 590-vote lead, but the margin is again back to 336 by 5 pm. At 8:45 pm, Franken trailed by 236 votes. On Friday, Franken trails by 239 votes. By early Saturday, the gap is 221. And, on Monday morning, the tally is 204.] </strong>Forum Communications reports one small reason why: Election officials in Buhl, Minn., reportedly went to bed election night <a href="http://www.stillwatercourier.com/articles/index.cfm?id=8601&amp;section=Minnesota%20News&amp;property_id=11" target="_blank">without reporting the tallies</a> for its 550 voters to county officials. Also reporting of results in Duluth was delayed because one precinct, &#8220;inundated with hundreds of same-day registrations,&#8221; took longer to count.</p>
<p>Could the recount shift victory to Franken&#8217;s side? Hard to say, but SenateGuru does the math on what that&#8217;d take. Answer: Not much.</p>
<blockquote><p>Franken needs only to pick up <a href="http://www.senateguru.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=358" target="_blank"><strong>one single vote every 8.6 precincts</strong></a> in order to claim the lead.  Every 8 or 9 precincts, there just has to be one single ballot overlooked, one single ballot that didn&#8217;t scan right.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-16726"></span>Vote tallies are literally changing minute to minute. <a href="http://electionresults.sos.state.mn.us/20081104/ElecRslts.asp?M=S&amp;R=all&amp;P=A&amp;Races=%27%27" target="_blank">Follow the changes at the Secretary of State&#8217;s Office</a>.<br />
<strong><br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>Update:</strong> David Brauer offers some<a href="http://www.minnpost.com/dailyglean/2008/11/06/4410/daily_glean_editorials_on_coleman-franken_recount_pipe_down_norm" target="_blank"> interesting details</a>. Two of every 1,000 optically scanned votes <a href="http://www.kare11.com/news/news_article.aspx?storyid=528872&amp;catid=2" target="_blank">aren&#8217;t counted</a>, he writes: &#8220;Extrapolated, that means 6,000 votes could enter the pool this time.&#8221;</p>
<p>Update: Here&#8217;s <a href="http://minnesota.publicradio.org/collections/special/columns/polinaut/archive/2008/11/why_the_vote_ta.shtml">why the vote counts keep changing</a>, from MPR&#8217;s Polinaut:</p>
<blockquote><p>Secretary of State Mark Ritchie said the Senate vote totals will continue to move as county election officials double check their work. He said the numbers will continue to fluctuate until the County Canvassing Boards certify the election. The deadline for the county boards to certify the numbers is Monday, November 10th. The counties are required to submit their election reports by November 14th to the Minnesota Secretary of State.</p>
<p>The State Canvassing Board will then meet on Tuesday, November 18th to certify the election. At that point, the board will order a recount which is required by state law.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>Coleman&#8217;s &#8216;Victory&#8217; mimics Obama&#8217;s &#8216;Change&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/16625/colemans-victory-mimics-obamas-change</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/16625/colemans-victory-mimics-obamas-change#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2008 14:35:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaign ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recount]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[victory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[web site]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=16625</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Maybe Norm the Shopper heard about the clearance sale at the Obama campaign&#8217;s online store. As of Wednesday, the Coleman for Senate Web site greets visitors with a spare, elegantly designed screen with the word &#8220;Victory&#8221; against a blue background. It&#8217;s a design that mimics the graphics of President-elect Barack Obama&#8217;s &#8220;Change&#8221; motif. (Compare Coleman&#8217;s splash screen [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/norm-copies-barack.jpg"><br />
<img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-16641" title="norm-copies-barack" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/norm-copies-barack-191x300.jpg" alt="" width="191" height="300" /></a>Maybe <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rk3fGyv6dRA">Norm the Shopper</a> heard about the <a href="http://store.barackobama.com/Gear_For_Less_s/1014.htm">clearance sale at the Obama campaign&#8217;s online store</a>. As of Wednesday, the <a href="http://www.colemanforsenate.com/">Coleman for Senate Web site</a> greets visitors with a spare, elegantly designed screen with the word &#8220;Victory&#8221; against a blue background. It&#8217;s a design that mimics the graphics of President-elect Barack Obama&#8217;s &#8220;Change&#8221; motif. (Compare Coleman&#8217;s splash screen with a detail from <a href="https://donate.barackobama.com/page/contribute/dnc08splashnd">Obama&#8217;s</a> at left.) Coleman, a legendary party-switcher, also seems to know something about bandwagon-jumping when it comes to adopting the look of a winner.</p>
<p>Twin Cities graphic designer Pat Thompson tells Minnesota Independent that Coleman&#8217;s Web site uses the same font, Gotham, that Obama&#8217;s much-admired branding program has used throughout his campaign. She and local type designer Mark Simonson found a lot to love about the design work from Obama&#8217;s camp &#8212; as Coleman has too, apparently &#8212; when they <a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/3821/designs-for-signs-web-sites-show-presidential-candidates-strengths-weaknesses">critiqued the graphics of presidential contenders</a> earlier this year.  <span id="more-16625"></span></p>
<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/16554/franken-attorney-odds-are-something-went-wrong">&#8220;Victory&#8221; is Republican U.S. Sen. Norm Coleman&#8217;s mantra</a> now, his one-word answer to Democratic challenger Al Franken&#8217;s new one-word mission statement: &#8220;Recount.&#8221; Coleman used the word again and again at a press conference this morning, even when referring to the slim lead he holds over Franken. It&#8217;s not a tiny, fragile lead, uncertified and vulnerable to reversal; it&#8217;s &#8220;my margin of victory.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/victory-obama-banner.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-16652" title="victory-obama-banner" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/victory-obama-banner.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="61" /></a></p>
<p>I saw this banner ad at <a href="http://www.democraticunderground.com/">democraticunderground.com </a>but didn&#8217;t use it above because I&#8217;m not sure it came from the Obama for America campaign. It doesn&#8217;t actually link to anything, and Thompson and Simonson told me last spring that replacing the actual letter &#8220;O&#8221; with Obama&#8217;s wheat-field logo wasn&#8217;t a habit of the official Obama design team but rather a hint that knockoff artists were at work. It does however serve as another comparison to Coleman&#8217;s copycat Web site.</p>
<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/victory-obama-banner.jpg"></a><span style="color: #0000ee; text-decoration: underline;"><br />
</span><a href="http://store.barackobama.com/Gear_For_Less_s/1014.htm"></a></p>
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		<title>Star Tribune story on Senate race ticket-splitters was truer last time</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/14967/star-tribune-story-on-senate-race-ticket-splitters-was-truer-last-time</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/14967/star-tribune-story-on-senate-race-ticket-splitters-was-truer-last-time#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 22:07:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Presidential Race]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Barkley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Governor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Minnesota Poll]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[patricia lopez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Hutchinson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[split ballot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[split ticket]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Star Tribune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ticket splitting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Pawlenty]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=14967</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On today's Star Tribune cover Patricia Lopez makes a case that Minnesota voters who don't intend to vote a straight party line at the top of the ballot could play a critical role in the outcome of the state's U.S. Senate race. If that sounds familiar it's because the Strib printed essentially the same story two years ago about voters who backed Democrat Amy Klobuchar for U.S. Senate and Republican Tim Pawlenty for governor. The difference is that in 2006 the poll numbers justified the fuss.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/split-ticket-sherlock-holmes.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-15034" title="split-ticket-sherlock-holmes" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/split-ticket-sherlock-holmes-300x206.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="206" /></a>On today&#8217;s Star Tribune cover, Patricia Lopez makes a case that <a href="http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/33421749.html">Minnesota voters who don&#8217;t intend to vote a straight party line</a> at the top of the ballot could play a critical role in the outcome of the state&#8217;s U.S. Senate race. If that sounds familiar, it&#8217;s because the Strib printed essentially the same story two years ago about voters who backed Democrat Amy Klobuchar for U.S. Senate and Republican Tim Pawlenty for governor.</p>
<p>The difference is that in 2006 the poll numbers justified the fuss: While only 5 percent of those who said they preferred Democrat Mike Hatch for governor said they&#8217;d support Republican Mark Kennedy for Senate, more than a quarter of respondents who liked Pawlenty favored Klobuchar too. This time around, only 5 percent of McCain supporters say they&#8217;d vote for Democrat Al Franken for Senate, and only 7 percent of Obama supporters say they&#8217;d vote to re-elect Republican Norm Coleman. The small numbers this year practically cancel each other out.<span id="more-14967"></span></p>
<p>Today&#8217;s story puffs up the current ticket-splitting phenomenon by postulating an impossible total-coat tail scenario for one candidate but not for the other. That is, if Coleman gets the vote of everyone who chooses McCain, he wins &#8212; but only when you don&#8217;t count a vote for Franken from every Obama supporter.</p>
<p>Lurking behind the numbers in the Senate race is Independence Party candidate and one-time U.S. senator, Dean Barkley. He&#8217;s left out of the story&#8217;s graphics which, on A1 and the jump page, <a href="http://www.startribune.com/photos/?c=y&amp;img=12splitters1028.jpg">show only the foursome of McCain, Obama, Coleman and Franken</a>. But in a sidebar, <a href="http://www.startribune.com/newsgraphics/33423914.html">the unseen Barkley&#8217;s effect on the race looms large</a>. Pie charts made from poll results show him drawing support from 19 percent of Obama&#8217;s voters and 15 percent of McCain&#8217;s.</p>
<p>Which goes to show that Barkley&#8217;s presence will impact the outcome much more than any over-hyped population of people planning to split their ballots between major-party president and Senate candidates. That is, unless voters susceptible to the ever-growing onslaught of viscious attack ads draw inspiration to ticket-split from a front-page newspaper story about nothing.</p>
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		<title>As newspapers endorse for Congress, top dailies tap Coleman &#8212; sans issues</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/14718/endorsements-coleman-obama-franken-madia-newspapers</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/14718/endorsements-coleman-obama-franken-madia-newspapers#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Oct 2008 17:28:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chris Steller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greater Minnesota]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Local]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Presidential Race]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 3]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US House]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Barkley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[editorial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[editorial board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Endorsement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Mccain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mccain-palin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[obama-biden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pioneer Press]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pipress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Star Tribune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strib]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Walz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Walter Mondale]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://minnesotaindependent.com/?p=14718</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Newspaper election endorsements are out -- some packing a wallop as bracing as a stiff winter wind in October, others playing it as safe as pre-Halloween trick-or-treating at a local strip mall. Here's a roundup of candidate preferences for the U.S. Senate and House that Minnesota papers have so far put in print. The recession sees the major dailies' editorialists cutting back on costly opinions -- either picking favorites without naming the issues they like them for, as both the PiPress and Star Tribune have done in the U.S. Senate race, or beating a wholesale retreat from making a pick at all, as the St. Paul Pioneer Press has done in the presidential contest.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/endorse.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-14733" title="endorse" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/endorse-300x182.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="182" /></a>Newspaper election endorsements are out &#8212; some packing a wallop as bracing as a stiff winter wind in October, others playing it as safe as pre-Halloween trick-or-treating at a local strip mall. Here&#8217;s a roundup of U.S Senate and House preferences that Minnesota papers have so far put in print.</p>
<p>The recession sees the major dailies&#8217; editorialists cutting back on costly opinions &#8212; by either picking favorites without naming the issues they like them for, as both the St. Paul Pioneer Press and the Star Tribune did in the U.S. Senate race, or beating a wholesale <a href="http://www.twincities.com/opinion/ci_10754152">retreat from making a pick at all</a>, as the St. Paul Pioneer Press did in the presidential contest. <span id="more-14718"></span></p>
<p>The right-wing slide of the dailies&#8217; editorial pages drew wide notice &#8212; and the Strib&#8217;s pick of Republican Sen. Norm Coleman is a milestone in that descent &#8212; but the two Twin Cities rags&#8217; simultaneous tilt away from judging candidates on issues is just as remarkable.</p>
<p>In its 2002 endorsement of Sen. Paul Wellstone&#8217;s stand-in, former Vice President Walter Mondale, over Coleman and Dean Barkley, the Strib editorial board wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>The agenda promoted by President Bush and largely embraced by candidate Coleman looks like this: shortchanging children and skimping on the elderly; committing the nation to endless consumption of fossil fuels; favoring corporate America over working America; bullying U.S. allies and neglecting U.S. neighbors; and mortgaging the federal budget so that Congress can keep a tax cut tilted heavily toward the rich. That&#8217;s not much of a future &#8212; yet it could become reality if just one Senate seat shifts from Democratic to Republican hands.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.startribune.com/templates/Print_This_Story?sid=33243874">This year, the Strib editorial board wants to see Coleman stay</a> in the Senate, but it&#8217;s silent on the particulars of what he ought to do there.</p>
<blockquote><p>The leadership qualities that he has developed ought to matter more in this year&#8217;s election than at other times, when issues might count for more. The world is changing rapidly. Today&#8217;s issues may not be tomorrow&#8217;s.</p></blockquote>
<p>The <a href="http://www.twincities.com/opinion/ci_10813986">Pioneer Press wouldn&#8217;t go there, either, in its endorsement of Coleman</a> over the weekend. Issues, smissues:</p>
<blockquote><p>We do not agree with either party&#8217;s approach to every issue. We know there are those who will vote based purely on those issues or on party allegiance. You don&#8217;t need our help to do that. We try to get away from the scorecard and look at the candidates in full. On that basis, we see Coleman as a gifted politician who could help forge a new national consensus without abandoning his conservative principles.</p></blockquote>
<p>But <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20021111125138/www.twincities.com/mld/pioneerpress/news/opinion/4424303.htm">in its 2002 endorsement of Coleman, the PiPress</a> didn&#8217;t have a problem naming issues:</p>
<blockquote><p>We also have reservations about Mondale&#8217;s abiding faith in big government &#8230; an enthusiasm for high taxes and command-and-control economic policies that we cannot fully share. A particular worry grows from the need for Washington to find the political courage to modernize America&#8217;s great entitlement programs for the elderly — Social Security and Medicare. &#8230; In summary, we believe Coleman&#8217;s basic priorities are sound — containing federal spending and taxes, strengthening defense, and facing the challenge of restructuring entititlement programs while adding prudent, affordable prescription drug coverage within Medicare.</p></blockquote>
<p>The PiPress that year mustered the guts to opine in the midst of the pre-election tumult following Sen. Paul Wellstone&#8217;s death; but this time around, taking a side in a presidential contest two years in the making <a href="http://www.twincities.com/opinion/ci_10754152">proved too much</a>. So the Strib&#8217;s <a href="http://www.startribune.com/opinion/editorials/33243864.html">Obama</a>-Coleman picks on Sunday stand out not only for their ticket-splitting but for finding their way to print at all.</p>
<p>Here are some other Minnesota newspapers&#8217; endorsements in federal races, with excerpts to show that most managed to cite issues to back up their picks:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.mndaily.com/2008/10/23/senate-swing-vote">Minnesota Daily for Dean Barkley</a>, Independence Party U.S. Senate candidate:</p>
<blockquote><p><span class="content">The Barkley campaign strives to be “issues-based” and runs only positive ads. Among other principled ascetics vowed by Barkley is a refusal to pander. He countered Franken’s $5,000 college student tax credit proposal with discipline: “I’m not going to … promise tax credits and new programs because we’re basically $11 trillion in debt.”</span></p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.sctimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081027/OPINION/110270031/1006&amp;GID=P48ciMfr0GGB4O6R4x7iPshgOOmUWvuiO+tUanOJCGo%3D">St. Cloud Times for Barkley</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230; [H]is stands on many issues, while far from shocking, invoke a sense of realism and moderation missing from the Coleman and Franken campaigns. For example, he supports capping federal spending the next four years to put America on track toward reducing the federal debt.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.marshallindependent.com/page/content.detail/id/505338.html?nav=5017">Marshall Independent for Coleman</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Coleman knows this region of the state, and he&#8217;s well-schooled and accessible on issues particular to our area such as the Minnesota Highway 23 corridor. We haven&#8217;t always agreed with Coleman&#8217;s stances or his votes in the past and it&#8217;s likely we won&#8217;t in the future, but he&#8217;s shown himself to be knowledgeable on energy, transportation and other important rural issues.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.postbulletin.com/newsmanager/templates/localnews_story.asp?z=12&amp;a=368279">Rochester Post-Bulletin for Coleman</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>We applaud his opposition to drilling in the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge, and we admire the fact that he&#8217;s played a key role in creating a new national energy policy.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.virginiamn.com/articles/2008/10/25/our_views/doc4903dad757ad0316377959.txt">Mesabi Daily News for Coleman</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><span>Coleman has been a champion of mining initiatives, including his wholehearted support of non-ferrous ventures of PolyMet near Hoyt Lakes and Franconia Minerals on Birch Lake near Babbitt.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span><a href="http://ajwnews.net/archives/61">The American Jewish World (newspaper of the state&#8217;s Jewish community) for Franken</a>: </span></p>
<blockquote><p><span><span>Franken has proposed a number of initiatives to aid our rural economy, expand educational opportunities and access to health care, and develop sustainable alternative energy options to grow jobs and redress the outflow of dollars to foreign oil producers. If the federal government can come up with $700 billion for Wall Street bankers (the New York Times reported the cost of the bailout at $2.25 trillion), surely we can prioritize money for a bailout of our cities and crumbling infrastructure. </span></span></p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.sctimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081026/OPINION/110260030/1006">St. Cloud Times for Elwyn Tinklenberg</a>, DFL candidate for U.S. House:</p>
<blockquote><p>He is an ardent supporter of improving transportation options, &#8230; backs reforming No Child Left Behind and &#8230; advocates for a responsible withdrawal of U.S forces from Iraq and an increased U.S. presence in Afghanistan. &#8230; Incumbent Rep. Michele Bachmann has simply made too many serious errors in judgment to deserve a second term.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.marshallindependent.com/page/content.detail/id/505338.html?nav=5017">Rochester Post-Bulletin for Tim Walz</a>, DFL -1st District:</p>
<blockquote><p>The Post-Bulletin endorses Tim Walz for a second term in the First District, because after less than 22 months in office, we&#8217;re impressed by his level of involvement in significant, meaningful legislation. His fingerprints are all over the new Farm Bill, and he was the driving force behind an increase in the mileage reimbursement rate for veterans who must travel to receive medical care. He&#8217;s also been a staunch advocate for wind energy and other renewable fuels that already are bringing jobs to the First District.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.startribune.com/opinion/editorials/33262554.html">Star Tribune for Walz and U.S. Rep. John Kline</a>, R &#8211; 2nd District:</p>
<blockquote><p>Democratic incumbent Tim Walz has earned a return trip to the U.S. House after an energetic first term focused on high-profile issues in his southern Minnesota district &#8212; agriculture, veterans&#8217; affairs and renewable energy. &#8230; Kline has stressed the role of diplomacy and the power of economic sanctions.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/14662/cd-3-new-madia-ad-and-newspapers-endorse-candidates">And as posted here last week</a>, the Eden Prairie News and Coon Rapids Herald for Erik Paulsen (R) and Ashwin Madia (DFL) in the U.S. House, respectively.</p>
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		<title>Unconventional wisdom: Barkley cuts into Coleman&#8217;s support</title>
		<link>http://minnesotaindependent.com/12084/unconventional-wisdom-barkley-cuts-into-colemans-support</link>
		<comments>http://minnesotaindependent.com/12084/unconventional-wisdom-barkley-cuts-into-colemans-support#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 20:12:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Demko</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slot 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Senate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Franken]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dean Barkley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Norm Coleman]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Minnesota U.S. Senate candidate Dean Barkley shouldn't be expecting any gift baskets from Norm Coleman between now and election day. That's because everybody's conventional wisdom about the contest -- i.e., a strong third-party candidate means six more years for Norm -- doesn't seem to be panning out. In fact, it's becoming clear that the emergence of Barkley as a factor in the race is disproportionately hurting the incumbent.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/2547819035_cd895f2720.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-12124" title="2547819035_cd895f2720" src="http://minnesotaindependent.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/2547819035_cd895f2720.jpg" alt="" width="333" height="500" /></a><br />
Back when Jesse Ventura was flirting with a U.S. Senate run, the conventional wisdom among the pundit class was that his presence on the ballot would all but lock up the election for Norm Coleman. I recall driving down to Rochester for the state Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party convention back in June and listening to Midday on Minnesota Public Radio. Both Democratic analyst Todd Rapp and Republican pundit Tom Horner were in agreement that a Ventura candidacy would be a boon for the incumbent.</p>
<p>&#8220;If Ventura got in this race, I think Coleman should send him a large holiday gift because I think he would be almost ensuring Coleman&#8217;s election,&#8221; Rapp said at the time. Horner echoed that sentiment: &#8220;I think it may just end up confusing things and increasing the chances that Sen. Coleman gets elected.&#8221; (You can listed to the program <a href="http://minnesota.publicradio.org/display/web/2008/06/06/midday1/">here</a>.)</p>
<p>Four months on, with Ventura presumably back in Mexico chasing waves, a viable third-party candidate has emerged in Dean Barkley. The Independence Party challenger has been polling near 20 percent and is poised to have a major impact on the Senate race &#8212; despite having almost no money in what&#8217;s expected to be the most expensive campaign in Minnesota history.</p>
<p>But Barkley shouldn&#8217;t be expecting any gift baskets from Coleman between now and election day. That&#8217;s because the conventional wisdom &#8212; i.e. a strong third-party candidate translates into six more years for Norm in Washington &#8212; doesn&#8217;t seem to be panning out. In fact it&#8217;s becoming clear that the emergence of Barkley as a factor in the race is disproportionately hurting the incumbent.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s take a look at the <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/senate/mn/minnesota_senate-257.html#polls">poll numbers</a>. There have been six polls taken since the beginning of August that included Barkley as a choice. Here&#8217;s the average spread in those surveys: Coleman, 41.2; Franken, 40.2; Barkley, 12.5. Now consider the spread in the last six polls that included just the Democrat and Republican candidates: Coleman, 49.2; Franken, 42.2.</p>
<p>In other words, Coleman&#8217;s lead shrinks from a robust seven points to a statistically insignificant one point when Barkley is included in the equation. Looked at another way, the Independence Party candidate saps an average of eight points away from Coleman, compared to just two points from Franken.</p>
<p>Granted, this isn&#8217;t a statistically sound analysis. We&#8217;re dealing with a whole slew of different polls that employ different methodologies and sample surveys. But there&#8217;s sufficient data to draw a pretty strong conclusion: Contrary to all expectation, the emergence of Barkley as a formidable candidate is deeply endangering Coleman&#8217;s re-election prospects.</p>
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